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The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are currently one point favorites in their Saturday game against the Michigan Wolverines in Ann Arbor.
The over/under — or “the predicted number of points oddsmakers believe will be scored in the game by both teams combined” — is 51 points. That, combined with the spread, suggests a 26-25 Irish victory.
The OddsShark computer is predicting a slightly more comfortable Irish win, 35-26. If that were reality, bettors holding slips for Notre Dame on the money, against the spread and for the total to go over would cash.
On Sunday afternoon, the line opened as most books with Michigan as either a 2 or 2 1⁄2 point favorite. The over/under has slowly crept up since opening at 49 (or 49 1⁄2 , depending on which oddsmaker you prefer.)
If you’re considering betting this game, here are some trends from OddsShark to consider:
- Michigan is 5-13 against the spread in its last 18 games following an against-the-spread win and 3-8 against the spread in its last 11 games.
- Notre Dame is 4-1 against the spread in its last five games.
- The total has gone under in seven of Notre Dame’s last nine games, but gove over in five of the Irish’s last six games against a Big Ten opponent. The total has gone over in four of Michigan’s last five games, but under in four of Michigan’s last six games against Notre Dame.
- Notre Dame is 6-3 against the spread in its last nine October games, while Michigan is 5-1 against the spread in its last six games played in this month.
Here are all the kickoff times, dates, TV/streaming options and spreads for Notre Dame’s opponents playing this weekend. All times are Eastern.
Notre Dame’s 2019 Opponents - Week 12 Schedule
| Team | Opponent | Time | Date | Network | Spread | Over/under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Opponent | Time | Date | Network | Spread | Over/under |
| Louisville | at N.C. State | 7:30 p.m. | Saturday | ACC Network | minus 3.5 | 58 or 59 |
| New Mexico | at Boise State | 10:15 p.m. | Saturday | ESPN2 | plus 28 | 59 or 59.5 |
| Georgia | at Auburn | 3:30 p.m. | Saturday | CBS | minus 2.5 | 40.5 |
| Virginia | No opponent | No spread | No over/under | |||
| Bowling Green | at Miami (Ohio) | 8 p.m. | Wednesday | ESPNU | plus 18 | 49.5 or 50 |
| USC | at Cal | 11 p.m. | Saturday | FS1 | minus 6.5 | 48.5 |
| Michigan | vs. Michigan St. | Noon | Saturday | FOX | minus 13.5 | 44 |
| Virginia Tech | at Georgia Tech | 3:30 p.m. | Saturday | Regional Sports Networks | minus 5.5 | 51.5 or 52 |
| Duke | vs. Syracuse | 4 p.m. | Saturday | ACC Network | minus 10.5 | 54 or 54.5 |
| Navy | at Notre Dame | 2:30 p.m. | Saturday | NBC | plus 8 to 9 1/2 | 54 |
| Boston College | No opponent | No spread | No over/under | |||
| Stanford | at Washington St. | 4:30 p.m. | Saturday | Pac-12 Network | plus 10 | 63 or 63.5 |
CHAMPIONSHIP ODDS
Notre Dame’s odds improved during the bye week from 200-to-1 to 100-to-1 at Westgate Las Vegas Superbook. The current favorites are the Alabama Crimson Tide (11-to-4), Clemson Tigers (7-to-2), Ohio State Buckeyes (4-to-1), Oklahoma Sooners and LSU Tigers (9-to-2).
Championship Odds at Westgate Superbook
| Team | Opening (1/7) | Week 1 (8/26) | Week 4 (9/15) | Week 5 (9/22) | Week 9 (10/20) | Week 10 (10/27) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Opening (1/7) | Week 1 (8/26) | Week 4 (9/15) | Week 5 (9/22) | Week 9 (10/20) | Week 10 (10/27) |
| Louisville | 500-to-1 | 5000-to-1 | 10000-to-1 | 10000-to-1 | Off the board | Off the board |
| New Mexico | No line | No line | No line | No line | No line | No line |
| Georgia | 12-to-1 | 6-to-1 | 6-to-1 | 5-to-1 | 16-to-1 | 12-to-1 |
| Virginia | 500-to-1 | 500-to-1 | 200-to-1 | 500-to-1 | 10000-to-1 | Off the board |
| Bowling Green | No line | No line | No line | No line | No line | No line |
| USC | 80-to-1 | 200-to-1 | 1000-to-1 | 500-to-1 | Off the board | Off the board |
| Michigan | 12-to-1 | 14-to-1 | 25-to-1 | 100-to-1 | 2000-to-1 | 500-to-1 |
| Virginia Tech | 100-to-1 | 500-to-1 | 2000-to-1 | 2000-to-1 | 10000-to-1 | 10000-to-1 |
| Duke | 1000-to-1 | 5000-to-1 | 10000-to-1 | 10000-to-1 | Off the board | Off the board |
| Navy | No line | No line | No line | No line | No line | No line |
| Boston College | 500-to-1 | 2000-to-1 | 10000-to-1 | 10000-to-1 | Off the board | Off the board |
| Stanford | 200-to-1 | 200-to-1 | 10000-to-1 | Off the board | Off the board | Off the board |
FiveThirtyEight’s College Football Predictions Calculator believes the Irish have a 13 percent chance of making the College Football Playoff, which improves to 22 percent if they beat Michigan (without taking into consideration wins and losses by other teams). The Irish’s chances improve to 40 percent if they win the rest of their games.
HEISMAN ODDS
There’s a new Heisman Trophy favorite with Tua Tagovailoa’s ankle injury and subsequent surgery.
LSU’s Joe Burrow has supplanted the Alabama’s quarterback as oddsmakers’ pick for the most likely to take home the hardware.
Here are the top five, followed by the odds of Notre Dame’s Ian Book and the Irish’s 2019 opponents:
- Burrow, LSU: 6-to-5
- Jalen Hurts, Oklahoma: 7-to-5
- Tagovailoa, Alabama: 7-to-2
- Justin Fields, Ohio State: 10-to-1
- Justin Herbert (Oregon Ducks): 40-to-1
Heisman Odds at Westgate Superbook
| Player | Team | Opening | Week 1 (8/27) | Week 9 (10/21) | Week 10 (10/28) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Team | Opening | Week 1 (8/27) | Week 9 (10/21) | Week 10 (10/28) |
| Jake Fromm | Georgia | 40-to-1 | 18-to-1 | 500-to-1 | 500-to-1 |
| Shea Patterson | Michigan | 20-to-1 | 20-to-1 | 1000-to-1 | 1000-to-1 |
| D'Andre Swift | Georgia | 50-to-1 | 40-to-1 | 80-to-1 | 100-to-1 |
| A.J. Dillon | Boston College | 40-to-1 | 50-to-1 | 300-to-1 | 1000-to-1 |
| J.T. Daniels | USC | 40-to-1 | 60-to-1 | Off the board | Off the board |
| Ian Book | Notre Dame | 60-to-1 | 100-to-1 | 300-to-1 | 1000-to-1 |
| K.J. Costello | Stanford | 60-to-1 | 100-to-1 | 2000-to-1 | 1000-to-1 |