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NFL Draft 2017: Survey Says Notre Dame’s DeShone Kizer Will Be Draft’s Biggest QB Bust

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Kizer should heed the lessons learned the hard way by Aaron Rodgers, Brady Quinn & Myles Jack.

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NCAA Football: Notre Dame Spring Game Matt Cashore-USA TODAY Sports

The Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel recently asked 16 NFL scouts to predict the biggest bust of the 2017 NFL Draft’s quarterback class.

DeShone Kizer was the easy winner with nine votes,” wrote Bob McGinn, the NFL beat writer for the newspaper. “Patrick Mahomes drew two votes, Mitch Trubisky and Deshaun Watson each had one and one scout declined comment. Two of the executives indicated all five were equally risky.”

Kizer has negative momentum heading into the NFL Draft, which begins Thursday in Philadelphia. One AFC executive, who was not named, told the newspaper:

“He’s not as good as he should be because he’s not committed to the game. He’s committed to building a brand. He wants all the things that come with being a starting quarterback but doesn’t want to put in the work.”

An NFC executive, also anonymous, said Kizer was fixated on his own status and wealth, calling him a “thin-skinned” “prima donna.”

This impression is almost exactly opposite the one left with the beat writers who covered Kizer in his three years with the Notre Dame Fighting Irish. Fair or unfair, this reputation — combined with a so-so NFL Combine and Pro Day performance — has sunk Kizer on most mock draft boards.

I’ve found 78 mock drafts that have been released in the last seven days. Of those, 50 — or 64 percent — believe the 6-foot-4, 235 pound quarterback won’t be picked in the first round.

Overall, I’m looking at 242 mock drafts built by a range of individuals, from the well-known (Mel Kiper Jr.) to the practically anonymous (FullerMetrics’ Samuel Fuller). Of these, 139 analysts say Kizer will wait the entirety of Thursday in the waiting room. That’s 57 percent.

I realize DeShone Kizer has a lot more information than I do about teams’ interest in him. Regardless, I’m surprised he’s going to attend the NFL Draft.

I loved Brady Quinn. I’ll always be a fan of his. But I think it’s safe to say this was the most memorable event in his NFL career — waiting interminably long to get picked during the 2007 NFL Draft.

Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers suffered a similar fate two years prior.

“On the inside there was a lot of disappointment, embarrassment just thinking about, you know, the hard work I put in and the disappointment of it not paying off in my mind,” he said later. “At the time, I saw teams passing on me that I know I’d talked to and I thought were interested.”

Myles Jack went to the first night of last year’s draft — and left empty handed.

“It was, honestly, humiliating,” the UCLA linebacker told NFL Network’s Rich Eisen a week later. “It was embarrassing having to sit there, and afterwards walking out, having my girl to my left, my mom to my right, my grandmother to the right of her and having to look at them. It was a tough feeling. It wasn't a good night, truthfully."

I know Kizer grew up a Philadelphia Eagles fan, so the draft being held in the City of Brotherly Love probably has more meaning to him than it otherwise would.

But perhaps he should listen to Rodgers, Quinn and Jack, and acknowledge what the mock draft analysts are saying. Is he ready to have a camera in his face if team after team passes on him?

DeShone Kizer’s Position in Mock Drafts

Draft analyst Publication Date of Mock Kizer at... Team
Draft analyst Publication Date of Mock Kizer at... Team
247 Sports Staff 247 Sports 4/06/2017 34 San Francisco 49ers
Aaron Bunten WFAA-TV (Dallas) 4/10/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Aaron Wilson Houston Chronicle 4/22/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Adam Gorney Rivals 4/06/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Adam Greene Get More Sports 3/29/2017 25 Houston Texans
Adam Kurkjian Athlon Sports 3/27/2017 25 Houston Texans
Adam Stites SB Nation 4/20/2017 45 Arizona Cardinals
Adam Wells Bleacher Report 4/23/2017 13 Arizona Cardinals
Akash Anavarathan Niners Noise 4/13/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Alec Nathan Bleacher Report 4/21/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Andre Simone BSN Denver 4/07/2017 39 New York Jets
Andrew Gribble ClevelandBrowns.com 4/04/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Andrew Juge This Given Sunday 3/21/2017 12 Cleveland Browns
Andrew Mason DenverBroncos.com 3/21/2017 25 Houston Texans
Anthony Broome 247 Sports 4/06/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Anthony Messina Sports Blog 3/11/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Art Stapleton The Record (N.J.) 4/14/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Arthur Arkush Pro Football Weekly 4/17/2017 13 Arizona Cardinals
Ben Burrows The Independent 4/18/2017 32 New Orleans Saints
Ben Lamers Stampede Blue 4/05/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Ben Standig CSN Mid-Atlantic 4/23/2017 34 San Francisco 49ers
Bob McManaman The Arizona Republic 4/12/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Brad Biggs Chicago Tribune 4/21/2017 25 Houston Texans
Brad Gagnon Bleacher Report 4/04/2017 25 Houston Texans
Brad Weiss FanSided 4/21/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Brandon Yamrick Real Sport 3/29/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Brennan Smith The Salt Lake Tribune 3/20/2017 13 Arizona Cardinals
Brent Sobleski Bleacher Report 3/21/2017 34 San Francisco 49ers
Brian Johannes NFL Draft Geek 4/07/2017 32 New Orleans Saints
Brian Mazique Forbes 4/10/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Bryan Luis INSC Magazine 3/13/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Bucky Brooks NFL.com 4/11/2017 30 Pittsburgh Steelers
Cameron Wolfe The Denver Post 4/21/2017 26 Chicago Bears
Carl Cockerham With the First Pick 4/06/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Chad Reuter NFL.com 4/21/2017 76 New Orleans Saints
Charean Williams Fort Worth Star-Telegram 4/14/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Charley Casserly NFL.com 3/28/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Charlie Campbell WalterFootball 4/17/2017 30 Pittsburgh Steelers
Chris Burke Sports Illustrated 4/20/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Chris Emma CBS Chicago 3/29/2017 27 Kansas City Chiefs
Chris Fedor Advance Media (Cleveland) 4/13/2017 32 New Orleans Saints
Chris Ransom Draft Utopia 4/18/2017 27 Kansas City Chiefs
Chris Roling Bleacher Report 4/22/2017 13 Arizona Cardinals
Chris Trapasso Buffalo Rumblings 4/20/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Cody Williams NFL Spin Zone 4/11/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Cole Thompson The Draft Wire 3/07/2017 27 Kansas City Chiefs
Connor Hughes NJ.com 4/06/2017 13 Arizona Cardinals
Connor Reilly SEC Country 4/20/2017 25 Houston Texans
Cris Collinsworth Pro Football Focus 4/20/2017 26 Arizona Cardinals
D. Orlando Ledbetter Atlanta Journal-Constitution 4/19/2017 Not in the first round n/a
D.J. Boyer DraftSite.com 4/22/2017 59 Kansas City Chiefs
Dale Lolley Observer-Reporter 4/13/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Dan Bilicki Toronto Sun 4/04/2017 32 New Orleans Saints
Dan Duggan NJ Advance Media 4/13/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Dan Kadar SB Nation 4/10/2017 34 San Francisco 49ers
Dan Schmelzer NFL Spin Zone 2/27/2017 13 Arizona Cardinals
Dan Wilkins The Score 4/04/2017 13 Arizona Cardinals
Dane Brugler CBS Sports 4/18/2017 32 New Orleans Saints
Daniel Carrigy Just Blog Baby. 4/12/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Daniel Jeremiah NFL.com 4/04/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Daniel LeBaron Silver & Black Pride 4/20/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Danny Kelly The Ringer 4/11/2017 Not in the first round n/a
DaRon Frost Pro Players Insider 2/26/2017 12 Cleveland Browns
Darryl Slater NJ Advance Media 4/10/2017 32 New Orleans Saints
Dave Archer Falcons Radio Network 4/06/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Dave Birkett Detroit Free Press 4/22/2017 Not in the first round n/a
David Harrison & Zach Sauers The Pewter Plank 4/13/2017 Not in the first round n/a
David McCracken Bleacher Report 2/21/2017 20 Denver Broncos
David Wyatt Gang Green Nation 2/16/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Derek Kramer WGR 550 (Buffalo) 4/10/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Dieter Kurtenbach Fox Sports 4/20/2017 36 Chicago Bears
Doug Martz Draft Board Guru 3/26/2017 Not in the first round n/a
DraftBlaster Staff DraftBlaster.com 4/11/2017 25 Houston Texans
DraftTek Staff DraftTek 4/20/2017 33 Cleveland Browns
Ed Malyon The Independent 4/11/2017 27 Kansas City Chiefs
Eddie Brown San Diego Union-Tribune 4/21/2017 45 Arizona Cardinals
Eliot Shorr-Parks NJ Advance Media 4/17/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Emanuele Addondi Draft Breakdown 4/19/2017 17 Washington Redskins
Emily Kaplan MMQB 3/07/2017 12 Cleveland Browns
Eric Edholm Yahoo! 3/15/2017 13 Arizona Cardinals
Eric Galko The Sporting News 4/11/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Erik Lambert NFL Mocks 4/06/2017 32 New Orleans Saints
Evan Silva Rotoworld 4/21/2017 Not in the first round n/a
FF Prophet Staff Fantasy Football Prophet 2/28/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Forrest Long Scout 4/17/2017 25 Houston Texans
Gary Davenport Bleacher Report 3/27/2017 13 Arizona Cardinals
Gentry Estes Courier-Journal 4/20/2017 30 Pittsburgh Steelers
George Stockburger NFL Mocks 4/13/2017 36 Chicago Bears
Greg Gabriel Pro Football Weekly 4/14/2017 12 Cleveland Browns
Greg Vorse Spectrum News 3/29/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Henry Buggy 4th And Goal 3/28/2017 27 Kansas City Chiefs
Hub Arkush Pro Football Weekly 4/19/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Ian Rhodes Local 4 / Click on Detroit 4/22/2017 Not in the first round n/a
J.C. Talon Pro Football Weekly 4/03/2017 25 Houston Texans
Jacob Infante Cover 32 3/27/2017 27 Kansas City Chiefs
Jacob Louque Baltimore Beatdown 4/17/2017 30 Pittsburgh Steelers
James Fedewa National Fanatic 3/24/2017 30 Pittsburgh Steelers
James Kratch NJ Advance Media 4/03/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Jared Dubin CBS Sports 4/22/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Jared Sherman CSNPhilly.com 3/20/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Jarvis Davis 92.9 The Game (Atlanta) 4/06/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Jason B. Hirschhorn Sports on Earth 3/08/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Jason Lieser Palm Beach Post 4/20/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Jason McIntyre The Big Lead 3/29/2017 17 Washington Redskins
Jay Skurski The Buffalo News 3/24/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Jayson Braddock Scout 4/13/2017 32 New England Patriots
Jeff Mullen NFL Draft Geeks 4/06/2017 25 Houston Texans
Jeff Risdon RealGM 4/12/2017 6 New York Jets
Jeff Schudel The News-Herald 4/07/2017 25 Houston Texans
Jim Mastrucci Sports Blog 4/21/2017 6 New York Jets
Jim Thomas St. Louis Post-Dispatch 4/09/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Joe Buscaglia WKBW-TV (Buffalo) 4/06/2017 32 New Orleans Saints
Joe Malfa Turn on the Jets 4/17/2017 30 Pittsburgh Steelers
Joe Redemann numberFire 3/03/2017 6 New York Jets
Joe Schad Palm Beach Post 4/21/2017 Not in the first round n/a
John Harris Washington Post 4/06/2017 Not in the first round n/a
John Leinweber Sports Blog 4/06/2017 Not in the first round n/a
John Manuel Fanspeak 4/05/2017 Not in the first round n/a
John McClain Houston Chronicle 4/22/2017 Not in the first round n/a
John Michaels Atlanta Falcons sideline reporter 4/06/2017 25 Houston Texans
John Oehser Jaguars.com 4/18/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Johnathan K. Henson Revenge of the Birds 3/20/2017 57 Houston Texans
Jon Chuckery 92.9 The Game (Atlanta) 4/06/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Jon Dove With the First Pick 4/12/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Jon Machota Dallas Morning News 4/17/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Jonathan Adams Heavy.com 4/22/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Jonathan Valencia Breaking Football 3/10/2017 23 New York Giants
Joseph Zucker Bleacher Report 4/11/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Josh Norris Rotoworld 4/17/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Jourdan Rodrigue The Charlotte Observer 4/20/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Justin Bales FF Today 4/03/2017 27 Kansas City Chiefs
Justin Rogers The Detroit News 3/21/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Justis Mosqueda Bleacher Report 1/23/2017 2 San Francisco 49ers
Keet Bailey Breaking Football 3/17/2017 57 Houston Texans
Keith Mullins Cowboys Wire 2/28/2017 3 Chicago Bears
Kenneth Arthur Sports on Earth 3/28/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Kent Lee Platte Pride of Detroit 4/17/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Kevin Hanson Eat Drink and Sleep Football 4/07/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Knox Bardeen 92.9 The Game (Atlanta) 4/06/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Kristopher Knox Bleacher Report 4/21/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Kyle Crabbs FanRag Sports 3/06/2017 2 San Francisco 49ers
Kyle Davis With the First Pick 4/10/2017 34 San Francisco 49ers
Kyle Posey Fanrag Sports 4/10/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Lance Zierlein NFL.com 4/18/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Lou Pickney DraftKing.com 4/20/2017 30 Pittsburgh Steelers
Louis Kamberovski Local 4 / Click on Detroit 4/05/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Luke Easterling The Draft Wire 4/17/2017 34 San Francisco 49ers
Mark Easson MyNFLDraft.com 3/29/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Mark Eckel NJ Advance Media 4/20/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Matt Burke Metro.us 4/23/2017 33 Cleveland Browns
Matt Falk Draftseason 4/17/2017 27 Kansas City Chiefs
Matt Hammond Sports Radio 610 (Houston) 4/06/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Matt Lombardo NJ Advance Media 4/21/2017 27 Kansas City Chiefs
Matt Miller Bleacher Report 4/14/2017 45 Arizona Cardinals
Matthew Olson Real Sport 3/10/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Maurice Jones-Drew NFL.com 4/21/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Maurice Moton Bleacher Report 4/23/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Max Himelstein NFL Draft Blitz 4/16/2017 13 Arizona Cardinals
Mel Kiper Jr. ESPN 4/05/2017 27 Kansas City Chiefs
Michael Pallas The Jet Express 4/15/2017 13 Arizona Cardinals
Michelle Bruton Bleacher Report 4/19/2017 13 Arizona Cardinals
Micky McKeon Mockout 4/17/2017 32 Chicago Bears
Mike Conti Falcons Radio Network 4/06/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Mike Farrell Rivals 4/06/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Mike Kaye First Coast News 3/15/2017 27 Kansas City Chiefs
Miles Dittberner Cover 32 4/03/2017 25 Houston Texans
Nate Davis USA Today 4/13/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Nate Geary WGR 550 (Buffalo) 4/10/2017 12 Cleveland Browns
Nathan Zegura ClevelandBrowns.com 4/04/2017 Not in the first round n/a
NFL Mock Staff NFLMock 4/22/2017 13 Arizona Cardinals
Nicholas Goss NESN 4/06/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Nicholas McGee Draft Breakdown 3/21/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Nick Klopsis Newsday 4/17/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Nick Rodriguez Endzone Score 4/03/2017 2 San Francisco 49ers
Nik Edlund NFL Draft Season 3/27/2017 33 Cleveland Browns
Niners Nation Staff Niners Nation 4/02/2017 34 San Francisco 49ers
Noah Strackbein Slap the Sign 3/30/2017 3 Chicago Bears
Nora Princiotti The Washington Times 3/20/2017 32 New Orleans Saints
Oliver Connolly All 22 3/01/2017 12 Cleveland Browns
Omar Kelly Orlando Sun-Sentinel 4/21/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Pat Kirwan & Jim Miller Movin' The Chains 4/06/2017 27 Kansas City Chiefs
Patrick Maks ClevelandBrowns.com 4/04/2017 30 Pittsburgh Steelers
Paul A. Edson Jr. Elite Sports NY 4/03/2017 25 Houston Texans
Paul Banks The Sports Bank 4/11/2017 12 Cleveland Browns
Paul Hudrick CSNPhilly.com 4/11/2017 30 Pittsburgh Steelers
Pete Camarillo Inquisitr 4/07/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Pete Prisco CBS Sports 4/17/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Peter Schrager Fox Sports 3/21/2017 12 Cleveland Browns
Phillip Heilman The Florida Times-Union 3/24/2017 12 Cleveland Browns
R.J. White CBS Sports 4/21/2017 36 Chicago Bears
Ralph Vacchiano SportsNet New York 4/19/2017 32 New Orleans Saints
Randy Gurzi NFL Spin Zone 4/15/2017 62 Pittsburgh Steelers
Ray Didinger Comcast SportsNet 4/03/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Ray Mecino NFL Rough Draft 4/10/2017 55 New York Giants
Remy Cabache Real Sport 4/22/2017 25 Houston Texans
Richard Sena Vavel 3/25/2017 45 Arizona Cardinals
Rob Rang CBS Sports 4/17/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Rob Staton Seahawks Draft Blog 4/20/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Robert Davis Football is Future 2/22/2017 13 Arizona Cardinals
Ron Clements Omnisport 4/17/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Russell Brown NFL Mocks 3/06/2017 27 Kansas City Chiefs
Ryan Griffith Breaking Football 2/25/2017 3 Chicago Bears
Ryan McCrystal DraftAce / Bleacher Report 4/06/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Ryan Wilson CBS Sports 4/19/2017 13 Arizona Cardinals
Sal Capaccio WGR 550 (Buffalo) 4/10/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Sam Farmer Los Angeles Times 4/01/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Samuel Fuller FullerMetrics 4/12/2017 45 Arizona Cardinals
Sayre Bedinger NFL Mocks 4/02/2017 25 Houston Texans
Scott Krinch CSN Chicago 3/30/2017 27 Kansas City Chiefs
Scott Petrak Elyria Chronicle-Telegram 4/16/2017 13 Arizona Cardinals
Scott Polacek Bleacher Report 3/06/2017 12 Cleveland Browns
Scott Wright Draft Countdown 4/03/2017 34 San Francisco 49ers
SideLion Staff SideLion Report 4/11/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Sports Illustrated NFL Staff Sports Illustrated 4/12/2017 13 Arizona Cardinals
Stephen Cohen Seattle Post-Intelligencer 3/16/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Steve Palazzolo Pro Football Focus 4/04/2017 57 Houston Texans
Steve Serby NY Post 4/20/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Steve Shoup Fanspeak 3/29/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Steve Silverman CBS Local (NY) 4/11/2017 32 New Orleans Saints
Steven Petrella Land of 10 4/11/2017 36 Chicago Bears
Steven Ruiz For the Win/USA Today 4/12/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Tab Bamford Daily Chicago Sports Tab 4/12/2017 38 Los Angeles Chargers
Tankathon Staff Tankathon 4/04/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Terez A. Paylor Kansas City Star 4/21/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Tim Campbell Live 4 Sport Network 4/10/2017 31 Arizona Cardinals
Timothy Rapp Bleacher Report 4/08/2017 25 Houston Texans
Todd McShay ESPN 4/20/2017 62 Pittsburgh Steelers
Tom Downey Chat Sports 4/08/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Tony Grossi ESPN Cleveland 4/17/2017 25 Houston Texans
Tyler Conway Bleacher Report 4/09/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Tyler King The Daily Collegian 4/13/2017 12 Cleveland Browns
Vasilis Lericos Baltimore Beatdown 4/20/2017 77 Arizona Cardinals
Viking Update Staff Viking Update 4/17/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Vincent Lungaro The Daily Collegian 4/13/2017 25 Houston Texans
Vinnie Iyer Sporting News 4/20/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Walter Cherepinsky WalterFootball 4/19/2017 30 Pittsburgh Steelers
Will Brinson CBS Sports 4/20/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Will Carroll ALL 22 1/24/2017 2 San Francisco 49ers
WRGW Staff WRGW District Radio 3/31/2017 13 Arizona Cardinals
Xavier Cromartie College Football Metrics 4/11/2017 Not in the first round n/a
Yardbarker Staff Yardbarker 4/06/2017 34 San Francisco 49ers
Zach Goodall Big Cat Country 3/13/2017 25 Houston Texans
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