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2016 Vegas Win Totals: ACC, Big XII, and Independents

OFD continues to look through the over/unders for the 2016 season, this time in the ACC, Big XII, and the Independents.

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We'll finish up our look through the Vegas win totals with a look at the ACC, Big XII, and the Independents.

ACC

Team Win Total Price
Clemson Tigers 10.5 -110/-110
Florida State Seminoles 9.5 +100/-120
Louisville Cardinals 9 +110/-130
North Carolina Tar Heels 8.5 -125/+105
Pittsburgh Panthers 7 +100/-120
Boston College Eagles 6.5 -110/-110
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 6.5 +100/-120
Miami Hurricanes 6.5 -125/+105
Virginia Tech Hokies 6.5 -130/+110
NC State Wolfpack 6 -110/-110
Duke Blue Devils 5.5 -110/-110
Wake Forest Demon Deacons 5.5 +110/-130
Virginia Cavaliers 4.5 -130/+110
Syracuse Orange 4 -110/-110

That BC line has to be a misprint, right? A team that didn't win a conference game last year has an O/U set at 6.5? Even though the Eagles should improve, jumping from 3-9 to 7-5 seems like too much. Another team from the middle of the ACC that looks interesting is Miami. Outside of their trip to South Bend, their non-conference is nothing but cupcakes. They also miss both Clemson and Louisville from the opposite division giving them a somewhat favorable conference schedule. While their tough run of @Georgia Tech, Florida State, UNC, @Virginia Tech, @Notre Dame, and Pitt will be rough, they only need to pick up two wins from this stretch to have a good shot at a 7-5 record.

Big XII

Team Win Total Price
Oklahoma Sooners 10 -110/-110
Baylor Bears 9.5 +100/-120
Oklahoma State Cowboys 8.5 -110/-110
TCU Horned Frogs 8 -125/+105
Texas Tech Red Raiders 7 -110/-110
Texas Longhorns 6.5 -110/-110
West Virginia Mountaineers 6.5 -130/+110
Kansas State Wildcats 5.5 -120/+100
Iowa State Cyclones 3.5 +100/-120
Kansas Jayhawks 1.5 -110/-110

For non-football reasons, Baylor looks like an obvious choice to fall dramatically short of their 9.5 over/under. Even though their assistants are remaining on the staff for now, they've already seen defections from incoming recruits, and few would be surprised to see players transfer away from the program. For no reason other than Bill Snyder having magical abilities, K-State seems to always find a way to get to six wins. Their schedule is tougher this year due to a early season trip to Stanford, but few would be surprised to see the Wildcats knock off one of the Big XII's top teams late in the season. The conference's other purple team, TCU, also looks undervalued. They were hit with the injury bug down the stretch that turned a season that started with playoff hopes into a "disappointing" 11-2 campaign. They ended on a nice note with a win over Oregon in their bowl game, and even with the departure of Treyvone Boykin and Josh Dotcson, I like TCU to at least finish 9-3.

Independents

Team Win Total Price
Notre Dame Fighting Irish 9.5 +110/-130
BYU Cougars 8 +105/-125
Army Black Knights 4.5 -110/-110
UMass Minutemen 2.5 -110/-110

For the Irish, 9.5 is probably the correct line. Like every season, the schedule isn't easy, but considering Stanford and Michigan State should take a step back, I'd take the over. BYU put together a really interesting schedule that includes games against at least one game against every power conference except the ACC. They also face tougher G5 opponents in Boise State and Cincinnati. Considering the difficulty, I think seven wins is much more likely than nine, but 8-4 looks right. Army, even with two lower level teams on their schedule will have a tough time reaching five wins. They'll be big underdogs to the Irish, Duke, Navy, and Temple, and will probably struggle to win their road game at Wake Forest. They'll probably need go 2-1 in a three game stretch against Rice, @UTEP, and @Buffalo. While none of these teams are overly tough, Army has won just two road games in the last three seasons.