I'm tied for the 6th worst record on the season in this competition. Time to do better.
Let's get right to the picks.
AP rankings used where appropriate
No. 22 Rutgers (+6.5) at Cincinnati
12:00 PM ET
The Scarlet Knights control their own destiny with a 4-0 record in the Big East. They did lose to Kent State a couple weeks ago so that's important to remember.
I don't know it doesn't feel like Cincy should be favored here, even though they have two close road losses this season and that's it. Rutgers has a pretty solid defense and Cincinnati has some quarterback issues right now.
No. 21 USC (-3.5) at No. 17 UCLA
3:05 PM ET
I find it fascinating how so many rivalry games end up so lopsided for a period of time. USC is going for their 6th straight in this series and their 13th win in the last 14 meetings. Before that, UCLA won 8 in a row!
Remember last year's game? Yeah, the Trojans won that 50-0 and took it easy on the Bruins. I'm not sure how much that game lingers but USC is still a lot better than UCLA.
I want USC to win this game big as I'd like to see Notre Dame win on the road next weekend against a pumped up Trojan squad.
NC State (+16.5) at No. 11 Clemson
3:30 PM ET
Pick: NC State
Clemson's defense usually gives up points to any offense with a pulse. You're probably asking yourself if NC State's offense has a pulse and I think they just barely qualify.
It seems unlikely that NC State could upset the top two teams in the ACC, but a back door cover seems likely to me. Clemson has been really quiet this year though---are they ripe to get upset this weekend?
No. 6 Ohio State (+2.5) at Wisconsin
3:30 PM ET
Pick: Ohio State
Holy crap Ohio State is 10-0. What are we to make of this? How are we going to look back on this inaugural season in Columbus by Urbie? Sure they haven't looked like a powerhouse but wait until he gets his recruits coming in.
This is a tough test for OSU before they take on Michigan in their season finale. Are the Buckeyes going undefeated or will they drop one of those games?
I don't think it will be this one. I'll take Ohio State and the points, no doubt.
Wake Forest (+23.5) at No. 3 Notre Dame
3:30 PM ET
Pick: Wake Forest
See the article, OFD Game Day Countdown: Notre Dame vs. Wake Forest
No. 13 Oklahoma (-10.5) at West Virginia
7:00 PM ET
Pick: West Virginia
What a fall from grace it's been for West Virginia. 4 straight losses after being a media darling earlier in the year.
At some point they have to bounce back right? I don't think WVU win but I can see Oklahoma having some struggles in Morgantown and not being to cover.
No. 14 Stanford (+20.5) at No. 1 Oregon
8:00 PM ET
Oregon covered this spread in each of the last two meetings against Stanford. Are the Cardinal improved enough on defense to cover up for their weaker offense?
Sorry, I just can't see Stanford's offense keeping pace. The Ducks have scored 329 points in their last 7 games against Stanford. They're averaging nearly 50 per contest!
Stanford is going to need to score, at minimum, 25 points to cover. I doubt that happens.
No. 2 Kansas State (-11.5) at Baylor
8:00 PM ET
Pick: Kansas State
Baylor in the post-RG3 era has wins against SMU, Sam Houston State, Louisiana-Monroe, and Kansas. These offense can pile up points (and would be a great backdoors cover candidate) but they've played God awful defense against Big 12 teams.
Can you take a team that's given up 70, 49, 56, 35, and 42 points in recent weeks to cover against the No. 2 team in the country?
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