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Utah vs The BCS: Arguments Before the Court

After last week's article that is a Primer on the issues in the Utah vs the BCS case, we follow up with an article presenting arguments from both sides. Questions asked were from the Justices of the Court to the lawyers for each side.

The Court includes: Justices Whiskey, Eric Murtaugh, JIm Miesle, Whiskeyjack, Coach and TLNDMA. Lawyers for each side are Mouth of the South (Henry Clay Redux) and Michael Collins (Up the Rebels).

Questions for the BCS lawyer, Mouth of the South:

1. How do the pro-competitive aspects of the BCS agreement outweigh the anti-competitive aspects?

The BCS has done for its entire existence what college football has been incapable of doing for the vast majority of its 142-year existence: produce a Division I, College Football National Champion by way of a National Championship game played by the two top-ranked teams in the country.[1] The BCS therefore provides consumers with a product that did not previously exist. The purpose of the Sherman Act is to protect the consumer. The BCS has produced this product without reducing the quality or quantity of the product available to the consumer, and without increasing the price to the consumer. It cannot seriously be disputed that the BCS has a pro-competitive effect, as it creates a product where none previously existed.

The BCS also fosters and creates competition by distributing and generating previously unprecedented revenues to BCS and non-BCS schools. The BCS also allows non-BCS schools the chance to play in bowl games that were previously unavailable. Last year’s Rose Bowl provides a perfect example. TCU simply could never have played in the Rose Bowl before the BCS, as this game was reserved for the Big 10 and Pac-10 champions.

2. How do you explain the disparity in revenue for BCS and non-BCS conferences and teams?

Opponents of the BCS argue that the BCS creates a "financial and prestige" gap between BCS and non-BCS conference schools. This argument strains credulity. The "financial and prestige" gap among NCAA Division I schools existed long before the BCS and is the result of factors completely unrelated to the BCS:


"For example, the University of Nebraska enjoys enormous "financial and prestige" success for reasons unrelated to participation in the BCS. Nebraska sits as "the flagship state university in a sparsely populated area." Moreover, "the closest professional [football] teams [to compete for fans] are located in cities hundreds of miles beyond [the state’s] borders." These factors have helped to create a significant revenue-generating fan base for this university’s football program. Nebraska’s total budget for athletics exceeds $50 million. The vast majority of this budget comes from revenues attributable to fan and alumni support; each football home-game generates between $2.5 and $3 million. Moreover, Nebraska dedicates significant revenues from other university sources to its football program. As a result of these factors, revenues derived from the BCS arrangement are less than 2% of Nebraska’s athletic budget ." [1]

____

The "financial and prestige" gap that the BCS opponents bemoan is neither caused nor exacerbated by the BCS. It is instead the result of universities’ budgetary constraints, endowments, state tax revenues, fan and alumni donations. It is likewise the result of universities’ monetary and temporal investments in cultivating their fan bases, their brand loyalty.


3. What sort of realistic chance do non-BCS teams have of playing a national championship game?

To directly and honestly answer the Court’s question—an infinitely better chance than they had under the previous "system." Before the BCS, non-BCS teams had no chance to play in the national championship game because there was no national championship game.

But with all due respect to the Court’s line of questioning, whether non-BCS teams have a realistic chance of playing a national championship game is completely irrelevant to the issues now before the Court. The issue, under Sherman antitrust case law, is this: do the BCS’s competitive benefits outweigh its anti-competitive effects such that the consumer benefits? The BCS is for the consumer an improvement over the previous "system" with no increase in cost or decrease in product quantity or quality. The BCS, further, can hardly be a competitive limit on non-BCS schools because, again, it provides such schools with unprecedented and never-before-realized opportunities by way of revenue-sharing and bowl participation.

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4. Boise State has finished in the top ten three consecutive years and has gone to one BCS bowl in that time. How do you justify leaving out one of the top teams in the nation twice and steering revenue that could be theirs to one of your BCS conference teams? How does that not violate antitrust laws?

Respectfully, the Court has lost sight of the purpose of the Sherman Act, the overriding concern of which is to protect the consumer. As long as the net effect is to benefit the consumer, the Sherman Act is unconcerned with perceived inequities between business partners.

A principled antitrust analysis is not concerned with the inequities that arise when businesses parse out revenues amongst themselves; rather, the important question is whether the businesses have injured consumers by reducing output and raising prices.

The answer to that question here is a definitive "no." BCS and non-BCS conferences and universities are now the beneficiaries of bowl invitations and revenue-sharing that they did not have pre-BCS. College football consumers—fans—receive a completely new and high-quality product—a national championship game between the top two teams in the country. The BCS has clearly met its burden.

But to assuage the Court’s concerns, BCS-bowl selection relies on a number of objective components, and also upon subjective human polls. These polls that existed long before the BCS. The BCS merely uses the polls and other objective factors to place the top two teams in a Division I College Football National Champion. In the sense that it relies on the polls, the BCS is no more restrictive to competition than the previous "system." Because it produces a completely new product, the BCS is a vast improvement and a benefit to the consumer.


5. The current BCS agreement fixes amounts to all but BCS conference champions which has risen from $11 million a game to $18 million. Over that five years, BCS revenue has risen $44 million (23%) with reimbursements to non-AQ teams, Independents including Notre Dame, and FCS teams remaining constant. How is that not utilizing established market power to benefit from a network of predatory price-fixing?

This question ignores the fundamental purposes of the Sherman Act, which is to protect the consumer, not the competitor. The law is unconcerned "with the inequities that arise when businesses parse out revenues amongst themselves," as long as the result benefits the consumer. Here the consumers (fans) receive via the BCS a product that they have never received before—a national championship game between the two top-ranked teams in the country.

The notion that all teams should receive equal treatment is truly quaint, but ultimately absurd, delusional, and unconvincing. College football produces revenue for the participating universities. It therefore operates as a business, not as a democracy. BCS conference schools have larger fan bases and generate more revenue than smaller conference schools. They have done so through past investments in their programs, by which they have cultivated dedicated fan bases—i.e. consumer interest. This is simple, empirical, economic fact.

Disparities in BCS payouts to BCS conference and non-BCS conference schools are based on economic realities. BCS-conference schools have larger fan bases, attract greater numbers of fans to bowl games, and increase ratings when they play in bowl games. Factors predating and completely independent of the BCS have created the "financial and prestige" gap. The BCS’s profit-sharing agreements merely recognize that most BCS conferences bring more to the table, and thus receive a larger share of the revenue. The BCS’s revenue-sharing agreements are necessary to prevent free-riding by smaller conference schools.These revenue-sharing agreements produce no fewer games than the previous "system" and do not decrease output—the number of games—or hinder the consumer in any way.

The internet’s preeminent authority on antitrust litigation vis-à-vis college football has pointed out that the non-BCS conferences themselves recognize and account for the "financial and prestige" gap in their internal revenue-sharing agreements:

"For example, conferences can and do set their own rules that may distribute bowl royalties unequally, such as in the WAC, the Mountain West and the Big East. The WAC’s rules allowed Boise State (’06-’07) and Hawaii (’07-’08) to keep 70% of the $6 million for their participation in BCS bowls with revenue-sharing by the other WAC teams of the other 30%. Due to a change in conference agreements, Boise State kept only 50% of their BCS bowl revenue in ’08-’09." -- "Utah vs the BCS: A Primer", Michael Collins,2011

"A mere showing of substantial or even dominant market share alone cannot establish market power sufficient to carry out a predatory scheme. The plaintiff must show that new rivals are barred from entering the market and show that existing competitors lack the capacity to expand their output to challenge the predator's high price." from Rebel Oil vs Atlantic Richfield Co ruling

Here the Plaintiffs can hardly show that they are barred from entering the market—they already participate in and derive profits from the market. Nor can they claim to lack the capacity to expand output. Unlike the NCAA television plan that the Supreme Court struck down on antitrust grounds in NCAA v. Board of Regents, the BCS does not limit output at all. The BCS, quite simply, places absolutely no restrictions on the numbers of games universities may schedule, play, or televise. Non-BCS conferences and schools may increase revenue in any given year simply by fielding a superior team and earning an invitation to a BCS game. They may—and actually have—increased output by adding an extra game to the regular season. So overall output has increased in the BCS era.


6. Why wouldn't a playoff benefit college football more than the current BCS arrangement?

Again with all due respect to the learned Justice, the BCS need not prove that a playoff would benefit "college football" more than the current BCS arrangement. "Antitrust laws require restraint to be pro-competitive, but they don’t require the restraint to be as pro-competitive as possible."[1]

It is outside of Court’s antitrust jurisdiction to decide whether one post-season system is better than another. The Court can only decide whether the BCS is "reasonably necessary to meet" its pro-competitive goals. The Court is not free to substitute its own business judgment for that of the BCS. As a matter of law, whether a playoff system would be "benefit college football" is irrelevant. The only relevant inquiry is whether the BCS is a pro-competitive restraint that is reasonably necessary to benefit the consumer. It clearly is. The opponents of the BCS must address these issues via negotiation with their counterparts or via legislation.

[1] Brett Fenasci, An Antitrust Analysis of College Football’s Bowl Championship Series, 50 Loy. L. Rev. 967, (2004); and

Christopher Pruitt, Debunking A Popular Antitrust Myth: The Single Entity Rule and Why College Football's Bowl Championship Series Does Not Violate the Sherman Antitrust Act, 11 Tex. Rev. Ent. & Sports L. 125, 151 (2009)



Questions for the Non-BCS Lawyer, Michael Collins:

1. How do the anti-competitive aspects of the BCS agreement outweigh the pro-competitive aspects?

The prior agreement, which provided little money to non-BCS teams and made it almost impossible for our teams to participate in BCS bowls, should be viewed as their original intent. The changes that loosened the purse strings they controlled still fix the amounts that almost half of FBS schools receive. We have no chance at participating in a national championship game, which was the purpose of the BCS agreement.

Utah finished the 2008-09 season 13-0, the only undefeated FBS team. Like the national champion, Florida, who had one loss, Utah defeated four ranked opponents, including #4 Alabama, 31-17. But Utah finished second in the polls due to strength of schedule considerations. The only fair way to resolve this would have been a playoff. Until then, non-BCS teams will not appear in the national championship game and will not be considered for the title even if undefeated.

In fact, the BCS agreement is an illegal group boycott that distributes revenue unequally and to the overwhelming advantage of the decision-making conferences and effectively deprives them of an opportunity to play in the national championship. Further, it acts as an illegal price-fixing scheme that limits the relative amounts that non-BCS teams can attain to BCS schools (85% to 15% - or less). As college football grows in popularity, that price fixing widens the gap between BCS and non-BCS teams. (1)

My eminent opponent would even defend the prior BCS agreement as beneficial to the consumer because it produced a national championship game. Rankings are never predictable as we see weekly in college football. Would we pick the top two ranked teams in any other sport to play for a college championship?

In this case, they are used to deprive the consumer of exciting matchups and the building drama a playoff brings. It is time to release FBS football from their control and have a playoff for the national championship. Until then, the consumer - football fans everywhere - are disadvantaged.

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2. Since the current BCS agreement went into effect five years ago, six non-AQ teams went to BCS teams. Non-BCS teams with lower ranking have been given slots in BCS bowls over higher ranking teams from BCS conferences. TCU got the opportunity to play in the Rose Bowl in 2010 - only the second time in 64 years that a non-Big Ten or Pac 10 team has played in Pasadena - outside of national championship games. How are non-BCS schools being deprived of opportunity to compete in the BCS bowls?

And non-BCS teams have competed well -- 4-1 over some of the top BCS conference teams. We should look at this in stages. First, we had no opportunity to participate. From 1998 to 2005, only Utah in 2004 qualified for automatic qualification limited to a top 6 ranking. Second, with changes in their selection rules to include the highest ranking non-BCS team as long as they ranked in the top 12, non-BCS teams have participated regularly with significant wins. The third phase? What about playing on an even field for the national championship. Four teams finished with undefeated records after the 2004 regular season, including Utah. Why shouldn't all four playoff for the title? Utah finished second in 2008-09 as the only undefeated team in FBS.

Only the 2009-10 season saw the top ten ranked teams go to the five BCS bowls. Last year unranked Connecticut with five losses played in the Fiesta Bowl for $18 million and was beaten by 28 points while tenth ranked Boise State with one loss played in a bowl for $1 million. If the top ten teams had played in BCS bowls over the past five years, Boise State would have gone to two more BCS bowls - last year and 2008-09.

We assert that college football consumers - whether fans, the non-BCS universities, their students or taxpayers in their states - are damaged by the continuation of this illegal agreement by the parties who have the ability to control the marketplace and the conditions for revenue reimbursement.

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3. Two non-BCS teams - Utah and TCU - that accounted for four of the seven BCS bowl appearances and four of the five non-BCS wins are moving to BCS conferences. Isn't that an indication that the current BCS agreement has helped make them more attractive to BCS conference inclusion? If the top non-BCS teams continue to be absorbed into BCS conferences, why should we mandate a solution?

BCS participation has allowed both of them to showcase how great their teams and coaches are. Both universities are committing to their current coaches and to improving facilities to become conference champions in their new conferences. Both will see an influx of new revenue from being part of those conferences. How much opportunity to excel and invest in their teams does the BCS afford those left outside it who don't have the resources, fanbase, or media market that is attractive for BCS conference affiliation? Those teams may never be included in BCS conferences.

For those teams, like Boise State in a small market, their only opportunity to excel nationally, keep top notch coaching, and invest in facilities is through a BCS bowl. The BCS has rejected proposals for a playoff and changes in selections rules that emphasis non-conference wins. TV ratings for games with non-BCS teams are not lower than the average and, in some cases, higher. The changes we ask you to mandate would eliminate the predatory pricing structure that directs money to the bowls and the BCS conferences instead of the NCAA and all its universities.

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4. You argue that the BCS violates antitrust laws by creating a network of partners that have in a price-fixing scheme that funnels the vast majority (82-84%) of BCS revenue to the major conferences. BCS revenue has increased 44% since 2004-05. (2)

How is the BCS agreement not anything more than a successful method that has improved college football's entertainment value in the largest media markets?

If Microsoft appeared before you and guaranteed other software companies with operating systems that they would receive 15% of a growing market, but no more, wouldn't that be a restraint of trade? What if another company had a better product but could not showcase it? BCS Champions receive a guaranteed $18 million, which keeps growing. Non-BCS automatic qualifiers receive half of that, which is divided up further. Over the past five years, BCS conferences have gotten $627 million (85.6%). Non-BCS confernces have gotten $105.45 million (14.4 percent).

Instead of Boise State going to a BCS bowl in 2009 (#9) and 2011 (#10) and collecting $9 million for two at-large berths, Virginia Tech (#19) and Connecticut (unranked) went to BCS bowls as automatic qualifiers collecting $36 million in total for their conferences. Further, non-BCS AQ money contributes to the general pool that pays the other non-BCS conferences and is further divided by a revenue sharing formula.

The football fan does not benefit when low ranked conference champions are provided a short cut and the huge revenue that comes with a BCS appearance. TV ratings suffer (rating 5.4) when Virginia Tech (#19) played a Cincinnati (#12) in 2009 or when unranked Connecticut is pounded by Oklahoma (#7), rating 6.15, last year. A rematch between Oklahoma and Boise State (#10) would have been much more exciting to the college football fan and more competitive.

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5. Don't the BCS conferences represent the largest potential TV markets? The largest non-BCS TV market used to be Salt Lake City (33rd). Now Las Vegas (42nd) and Albuquerque (44th) are the only non-BCS TV markets in the top 50. Denver represents the 18th largest TV market while Boise ranks 112th. Isn't that why Colorado was chosen to join the Pac 10 rather than Idaho's Boise State - and why the champions of BCS conferences in these markets are included as automatic qualifiers?

Then why not pick conference champions based on market size? Appealing to large markets is smart marketing. But automatic BCS conference champions are determined by competition not market size - as should BCS appearances be. The BCS agreement is just a cartel who decides how much of a slice of the pie to give the little guys, while dividing the rest equally. This is football we're talking about. It's stupid not to have a college football playoff for FBS.

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6. Non-BCS conferences joined with BCS conferences in this agreement bring all the major bowls into an attractive arrangement for television and to produce a national championship game between the top two ranked teams. What do you propose if their television partners and the BCS bowls refuse to participate in any other arrangement?

There's too much competition in the marketplace for such shenanigans, unless you think America is controlled by the few. The goal of the Sherman Antitrust Act is to prevent restraints on free competition and commercial transactions which restrict production, raise or otherwise control the prices, market and competition to the detriment of purchasers or consumers of goods and services. Wouldn't they be attempting to control the prices, the market and the competition by any refusal to participate?

The BCS bowls are subject to your rulings. As an active partner in the BCS who generate an inordinate amount of revenue for themselves, they may not want to deviate from the current arrangement, however illegal. But a playoff that includes them would be too attractive to bow out of.

I'd love to see playoff games in the north, perhaps in domed stadiums, near hometown fanbases, if there were an eight team playoff. There's plenty of data that suggests the revenue would be much greater and advocates who want the universities - not some corrupt bowls - to share more of the income. How could this not be attractive to potential television partners?

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7. The universities earned an ability to control their television rights in a landmark antitrust case against the NCAA. Do you advocate that the alleged antitrust violations by the BCS are enough to overrule that Court's concerns? Would you give the NCAA a limited antitrust exemption to solve this?

We ask that the Court expand the NCAA's antitrust exemption to include control over television rights for the BCS bowls only. Conferences still retain the rights to their TV contracts which have lately resulted in billions of dollars revenue. The NCAA certifies bowls and would be impartial - as they are with the championships in all other sports in all divisions except for FBS football. To obtain that for FBS football, they need the court's ruling.

The Court clearly found this was a "horizontal restraint" on output and price by the NCAA on member institutions and that "The NCAA creates a price structure that is unresponsive to viewer demand". The Court found: "Today we hold only that the record supports the District Court’s conclusion that, by curtailing output and blunting the ability of member institutions to respond to consumer preference, the NCAA has restricted, rather than enhanced, the place of intercollegiate athletics in the Nation’s life."

Hasn't the BCS "restricted, rather than enhanced, the place of intercollegiate athletics in the Nation's life"? Hasn't the BCS ignored the consumer's growing calls for a playoff for a national championship by "curtailing output and blunting the ability of its member institutions to respond to consumer preference"?

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8. Isn't the BCS a single entity which your clients joined willingly and continue to be participants?

The BCS may purport to be a single entity by the BCS conferences, but what's the alternative for non-BCS conferences? Giving up $1 million or more a year in revenue without the possibility of appearing in a BCS bowl?

The Court has given a pass to trade-restraining parties who could cast themselves as a "single entity" rather than as independent entities. The BCS has cast itself in that light as an agreement to determine a national champion. But the Court has also resolved that agreements cannot "deprive the marketplace of independent centers of decisionmaking" and limit or restrain actual or potential competition. Justice Stevens said that otherwise, "Members of any cartel could insist that their cooperation is necessary to produce the ‘cartel product’ and compete with other products."

Recently, the Court decided against the NFL on those same grounds when the NFL cast themselves as a single entity. Decision-making in the BCS is made by the BCS conferences. Participation by non-BCS entities is purely based on expediency and should not be misinterpreted as equal participation with agreement on all aspects of the outcome.

BCS Revenue Sharing, Breakdown by Conference, Ranked Teams In and Out

(1) Antitrust & The Bowl Championship Series, Nathaniel Grow, Harvard Journal of Sports & Entertainment Law, June 2010, and

The BCS, Antitrust and Public Policy, Andrew Zimbalist, Robert A. Woods Professor of Economics, Smith College, 2010.

(2) BCS Revenue Sharing, Breakdown by Conference, Ranked Teams In and Out

________________

I am honored to be cited by the eloquent opposing counsel, MoS. Thanks to all for their participations. Feel free to render your decisions.



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As far as Notre Dame’s liability, I would consider it less than the other BCS partners. They take a 1/65th share when they do not go to a BCS bowl, which has worked out to about 1% of all total revenue per year over the last four years.

When they have gone to a BCS bowl, under the current agreement, they have taken a fixed share of $4.5 million for a “second place” share. Meanwhile, the BCS champions share continues to rise as the total income rises.

In 2006-07, they went as a 9th ranked team but they did not displace any non-BCS team.

Their total revenue for the current agreement has been $10.2 million over five years, approximately what the non-BCS qualifying teams earned – Utah, Boise St and TCU.

Under the old agreement, when the Irish earned $14 million for their appearance in 2006 Fiesta Bowl, their apportionment would have been much more of a potential liability. They may argue that they gave up their share under the old agreement to provide more equal portions to the non-BCS members and to provide them with the greater opportunity for appearance in BCS bowls.

by Michael Collins on May 15, 2011 11:35 AM EDT reply actions  

Whew, now that was a doozy of a post right there, I applaud your efforts gentlemen!

Anyway, the whole time I was reading I was trying to find ways to support the anti-BCS position, but when it comes down to the anti-competitive aspects, I don’t see how Utah is winning this one. I said it in the earlier post, that doesn’t seem like the type of argument that is going to cause the government to make changes to the system.

As I was reading this I was thinking, we used to have a system in which a team like BYU could win a national championship, and in reality, we don’t have a system that would allow the Cougars to win one anymore.

I was desperately trying to find some sort of argument around that reality that could make the BCS look bad, but all I could say is that BYU had no business winning the title in 1984 to begin with, and in fact the BCS system actually helps in that regard in that us consumers aren’t dealt such a weak national champion.

But the BCS still sucks. Like Wetzel said, we shouldn’t be happy with a broken calculator (the BCS) just because it’s not an abacus (the old system).

It’s just unfortunate that the anti-competitive angle isn’t going to win here though. But you did a tremendous job presenting the case.

Now, back to that BYU title team. How did this happen?!!

Here’s their schedule and the win-loss record of their opponents:

Pitt 3-7-1
Baylor 5-6
Tulsa 6-5
Hawaii 7-4
Colorado State 3-8
Wyoming 6-6
Air Force 8-4
New Mexico 4-8
UTEP 2-9
San Diego State 5-6
Utah 6-5
Utah State 2-9
Michigan 6-6

They beat only four teams that ended the season with a winning record!!!

Their opponents win-loss record was 63-83-1.

20 games under .500!!!!!!!

Now I know all the “big” schools had at least one loss that year and that BYU had been a very strong program for some time before this title, but man.

Doing some light research here, BYU faced No. 3 Pitt to start the season in ESPN’s first ever live telecast. Of course the Cougars won and jumped from unranked to No. 13 in the polls the following Monday. What heck happened to Pitt where they were a top 5 team and then ended up beating only East Carolina, Tulane, and Penn State in 1984???

And wasn’t there a lot of controversy over BYU and their bowl game? They had a tie-in with the Holiday Bowl and played there every year…the Holiday folks tried to get a top team to play them, or BYU had the opportunity to play in a bigger bowl game but turned it down.

So they ended up playing a 6-5 Michigan team who had beaten Miami to start the year, rose to No. 3 in the polls at one point, but lost to Washington (the one team who had a better claim to a title than BYU) and faltered down the stretch after Jim Harbaugh broke his arm.

I can’t believe we lived in a world where a team beat a 6-5 opponent in the Holiday Bowl and won the national championship. Is there a book out there about this?

by Eric Murtaugh on May 16, 2011 9:21 AM EDT reply actions  

I concur with Justice Murtaugh.

The BCS is far from an ideally competitive system, but as counselor MotS so deftly demonstrated, the anti-trust case against the BCS is weak. The path to a better system lies through popular and legislative pressure, not the courts.

Great post, guys; very entertaining way to present the issue.

by Whiskeyjack on May 16, 2011 11:53 AM EDT reply actions  

Thank you, Justices Murtaugh and Whiskeyjack. We were fortunate to enlist the expert assistance of Mouth of the South – the David Boies of Internet court cases. His contribution was invaluable.

Certainly BYU could never be national champion today – nor could any other non-BCS team. BYU’s championship may have contributed to the formation of the Bowl Coalition which changed to the Bowl Alliance and finally, to the BCS. Washington declined the opportunity to play BYU in the Holiday Bowl for a de facto NC, instead preferring the lucrative Rose Bowl.

How much are we influenced by the dynamic situations that include Utah and TCU heading to BCS conferences? After this year, will Boise State be a perennial AQ? How would we feel about a playoff if an undefeated Notre Dame finished third in the rankings behind at least one BCS conference champion with one loss? Think of the uproar.

by Michael Collins on May 16, 2011 1:23 PM EDT reply actions  

The uproar would be tremendous indeed.

It’s no secret that all things considered Notre Dame has had a nice, how should I put this…comfortable relationship with the BCS for many obvious reasons (but mostly dolla dolla billz ya’ll).

We’ve never been spurned for a BCS bowl, but the odds are at some point it’s going to happen if the system remains the way it is. Let’s just hope that those arguments are over whether a 2-loss Notre Dame team should go to the Sugar Bowl instead of a 2-loss LSU team and not whether the Irish should be left out of the title game with 1-loss (or some such championship scenario).

So it was Washington who didn’t want to play BYU? Nice going Huskies.

Did they truly think BYU wasn’t going to be crowned champions even if they won the Holiday Bowl? I do believe the Cougars were #1 in the polls going into bowl season anyway. Doesn’t seem like a very smart move on the part of the U of W.

by Eric Murtaugh on May 16, 2011 2:18 PM EDT reply actions  

Thanks, but I need to defer to my sources. I essentially just distilled their research.

Before writing this post, I would have considered myself staunchly anti-BCS. Maybe it’s just the lawyer’s ability to convince himself of the justness of his client’s position, but after taking a careful, reasoned look at the system, I must say that the BCS is a huge improvement over the previous “system.” Before the BCS, the two top-ranked teams in the country could be playing on different coasts in the po-dunk.com bowls, and there would be no national championship game.

The BCS deserves a lot of credit for bringing all of the players—conferences—to the table to create a national championship game—no mean feat. While I personally favor eliminating the twelfth game and even conference championships and going to a 16- or 8-team playoff, many of the larger conferences it seems just won’t stand for it and the whole tenuous post-season confederation will collapse.

Here’s another consideration: there are currently 30-some-odd bowls, which allows 70 teams to the privilege of post-season play. How much will those bowls be trivialized if we move to a 16-team playoff of 15 total games? Many would agree that outside of the MNC game, the four BCS bowls, and the Capital One, Gator, and Cotton Bowls are already fairly trivial. The problem with the anti-BCS argument is that it will require a judge or jury to address issues way above their pay grade. The BCS can prove its case by empirical evidence—this is the system, we have used it for x number of years, and it works to keep all of the players at the table while producing an annual national championship game. The anti-BCS arguments would necessarily be largely theoretical: this is what we propose, it would work and be “less stringent” because of x, y, and z expert evidence/testimony, and x, y, and z feasibility studies.

I don’t see the opponent of the BCS prevailing on anti-trust grounds. There has never been a playoff and their arugments will be too abstract and theoretical. It may be counter-intuitive to the lay person—how could a court not uphold the best system?—but whether a playoff system would be better, more fair, and more inclusive for the non-BCS schools is essentially irrelevant. All that is likely to matter is that the BCS benefits consumers. This is a fight to be fought in the legislative and public opinion arenas. After having researched this issue, though, I’m just don’t think that all of the players will come to the table on a playoff.

by Mouth Of The South on May 16, 2011 2:28 PM EDT reply actions  

BYU’s opponents had a winning percentage of .431 in 1984.

Boise State’s had a winning percentage of .480 in 2009.

But at least the Bronco’s beat a 10-win Oregon team, 8-win Fresno, 8-win Idaho, 8-win Nevada, and 12-win TCU, compared to BYU’s lone victory over 8-win Air Force as their biggest “statistical” win.

Boise’s schedule was really murdered by some REALLY awful teams like 1-11 Miami (OH), 2-10 San Jose State, and 3-10 New Mexico State. I also included Cal-Davis’ 6-5 record above.

by Eric Murtaugh on May 16, 2011 2:33 PM EDT reply actions  

demi

“Sir, I object to the current BCS system.”

judge1

“Overruled.”

demi2

“Sir, I strenuously object!!”

judge2

“OVERRULED COUNSELOR!!”

gtg

“Oh, you strenuously object?”

jack

“HAHAHA, you can’t handle the theoretical possibilities of another post-season system!”

hfgh

“Daaamn, bowl games ’gonna suck again.”

by Eric Murtaugh on May 16, 2011 2:55 PM EDT reply actions  

That was excellent, Murtaugh. Do you work for a living? It would take me a year to do that.

by Mouth Of The South on May 16, 2011 4:39 PM EDT reply actions  

Eric is enjoying his new-found ability to post images in the comments section.

by Whiskeyjack on May 16, 2011 5:17 PM EDT reply actions  

It just came to me, I feel very fortunate.

by Eric Murtaugh on May 16, 2011 9:09 PM EDT reply actions  

“Maybe it’s just the lawyer’s ability to convince himself of the justness of his client’s position…”

True words. I finished the first part – the Primer – with the firm belief that the BCS was not illegal on antitrust grounds and that the Fed Antitrust Chief, Varney, would have a tough road to hoe.

By the time I finished my arguments against the BCS, I was convinced that the non-BCS forces had a strong case. (I thought I at least had Murtaugh.)

Next week’s article: MoS and I will switch sides and present convincing arguments for the other sides.

by Michael Collins on May 17, 2011 12:17 AM EDT reply actions  

BCS may not be the perfect way to determine a NC but it sure as hell beats the old system of a bunch of AP and UPI people voting for their favorite regional team, rather thean the deserving team.

by bill on May 18, 2011 7:14 AM EDT reply actions  

As my esteemed colleagues have already stated, it seems that Utah’s position that the BCS violates the Sherman Anti-trust act lays its foundation on unstable ground. The core of the issue is this—does the existence of the BCS deny the consumer access to quality or quantity of product? It is difficult to say yes to either.

With the current system, flawed as it might be, we still see an annual match-up of the two highest ranked teams play on the field to determine a national championship. This, at its core, was the mission of the BCS (that and that alone). Can the system improve? Yes. But it is not the court’s place to drive that change. The power to incentivize change to the system lies with the free market that the system serves. Once overwhelming economic drivers are put into motion, the system will have no choice but to adapt to the demands of the consumer.

Nice work guys, a bit much to read at 8 am, but I appreciate it nonetheless. While I don’t like the overall system, it is hard to argue that having the top two teams play eachother is a bad thing. I just think letting the top 8 to 16 teams duke it out in a no-holds-barred cage match that is a playoff would be a whole lot better.

by Jim Miesle on May 18, 2011 8:58 AM EDT reply actions  

At some point, won’t the fact that many, many, many public universities are hemorrhaging money and jacking up tuition, and always having athletic departments in the red……will the government have a leg to stand on to intervene and force college football to adopt the much more lucrative playoff format?

Is that the only way?

Public pressure probably won’t work, right?

by Eric Murtaugh on May 18, 2011 11:51 AM EDT reply actions  

Eric —

Good point, but there are many factors contributing to rising tuition rates. State funding is being cut across the board, along with rising costs and avoidance of touching endowment money (prinicpal or earnings). The public university model has always struck me as odd, since it is at best a one way street (they take funding but have little to no accountability, but I digress).

I think you are spot on saying public pressure won’t work. I am an idealist at heart and would like to think it will have more impact, but it is akin to the government—just because I want something done (or the public for that matter) doesn’t mean that those in power to do something necessarily will.

The public is at best an indirect consumer of collegiat athletics. The majority of the money comes from television contracts. We watch, which drives up ratings, which drives up advertising demand and so on…basic economics. I don’t know how we can influence anything other than not attending the BCS games or watching on television, but that simply won’t happen. The same could be said for the current labor situation in the NFL (I personally think all fans should boycott attending games in person this fall to send a message to the players and owners) but that won’t happen either. Alas, that leaves forums like this to “publicly” bash the powers that be (NCAA, BCS conferences) to drive their own change.

To quote a line from Tommy Boy - “If you aren’t growing, you’re dying.” Anyone in corporate America knows this first hand-business has to be agile in today’s hypercompetitive market. Unfortunately, professional and collegiate sports are exempt from antitrust legislation, which leaves little competition aside from one sports league competing with another for fans (and thereby money).

Bottom line—I am not sure the government has a leg to stand on with regards to this issue. The best they can do is to threaten to repeal the antitrust exemptions or in the NCAA’s case a nonprofit designation to influence. Whether or not it comes to that remains to be seen. I think the more likely scenario is the NCAA taking more control over the determination of a DI college footbal champion and thereby generating more revenue from it as the most likely scenario.

by Jim Miesle on May 18, 2011 12:42 PM EDT reply actions  

Thank you, Justice Miesle, for your decision. I also see other weaknesses in Utah’s case. Simply, I think you need four elements for a case – a client, standing, defendants and alleged violations. We’ve been talking of the last one mostly.

But who is Utah’s AG going to represent who is damaged by the BCS agreement? Utah has earned the invitation to the Pac 12 and now participates in their largesse. BYU is independent with mostly WAC opponents, who has their own network. Utah State? The citizens of Utah? The Idaho AG might have a better case with Boise State left out of a couple of BCS bowls recently and, moving to the MWC, an uncertain future of ever becoming a BCS team due to a small market. But maybe, like Jim, he feels tax dollars are better spent elsewhere – and Boise State did get a lion’s share of their BCS appearance money.

Standing – state AGs can sue under their state laws, but usually these cases are combined into a Federal case. Will Christine Varney, US Antitrust head, bundle a few states together and intervene on their behalf? It seems more reasonable that she would be threatening to obtain a concession of a playoff than take them to court. To take the BCS through to the Supreme Court would be expensive. This essentially is interstate commerce though individual states are affected directly or indirectly.

Defendants – Would Utah’s AG really sue the Univ of Utah, now part of the Pac 12? Could he leave them off any suit? Damages won would indirectly affect the Univ as loss of Pac 12 income.

The real rewards and athletic dept self-sufficiency comes with the media contracts (SEC – $2 billion, Pac 12 – $3 billion, Texas $300 million). With the new Big 12 contract, Texas will get $30 million a year from TV contracts. Not a lot of these universities will see their athletic departments in the red.

by Michael Collins on May 18, 2011 2:25 PM EDT reply actions  

Here is an update about the NCAA passing the buck to the BCS (or moving out of the crosshairs):

http://sports.espn.go.com/ncf/news/story?id=6563305

Now is when things will start to get interesting…

by Jim Miesle on May 18, 2011 2:49 PM EDT reply actions  

The President of the NCAA, Mark Emmert, responded to Varney’s letter, which asked him specific questions about the BCS and a potential playoff instead: “Inasmuch as the BCS does not fall under the purview of the NCAA, it is not appropriate for me to provide views on the system… there are no plans absent direction from our membership to do so.”

Emmert also says: “Unless the membership (of the NCAA) decides to discontinue the existing BSC system and formally proposes creation of a championship for FBS institutions, there is no directive for the Association to establish a playoff.”

http://www.ncaa.org/wps/wcm/connect/fe03718046e73bb0823fe3ac20c3c72c/NCAA+Response+to+DOJ+Letter.pdf?MOD=AJPERES&CACHEID=fe03718046e73bb0823fe3ac20c3c72c

Emmert does a nice job in separating the NCAA from the BCS and acknowledging the BCS’s independence to run it.

Ball in your court, Ms. Varney.

by Michael Collins on May 18, 2011 2:56 PM EDT reply actions  

Don’t sweat it, Mike. The law’s just not on your side. If you get it to a jury, though, it’s better to have good facts than good law.

Did anyone hear NPR’s piece on this subject this morning? Way to set the trends, OFD. I wonder why they didn’t interview us. Maybe it’s a multiple-part piece and they’re saving the best for last.

by MouthOfTheSouth on May 18, 2011 4:11 PM EDT reply actions  

NPR: Cries for Football Playoff Get Louder

Certainly there is sound law behind your arguments, MoS. Fenasci’s article was well worth the read – and even dated prior to the current agreement. Maybe NPR is searching for him.

In the meantime, I’ll quote Justice Brandeis: "The legality of an agreement or regulation cannot be determined by so simple a test as whether it restrains competition. Every agreement concerning trade, every regulation of trade, restrains…The true test of legality is whether the restraint imposed is such as merely regulates and perhaps thereby promotes competition or whether it is such as may suppress or even destroys competition."

by Michael Collins on May 18, 2011 6:37 PM EDT reply actions  

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