Recruiting to 85: Reading the Tea Leaves
With National Signing Day one week away and the 2011 class in the process of being finalized with 23 verbal commitments to the Irish, scholarship options are limited. How many fifth year players will Coach Kelly invite back? Who of the remaining recruits will commit to the Irish? Will we have any transfers?
First, an overall look at the potential roster for 2011. The Irish have 57 current players with eligibility returning, including Michael Floyd and a scholarship given to Lou Groza finalist, David Ruffer. Since our last update, Ishaq Williams, Chase Hounshell and Aaron Lynch committed to the Irish, increasing the 2011 class to 23 commitments. Williams and Lynch have started classes as early entries. Five scholarships remain.
Nine players have fifth year eligibility left and Dan Wenger is applying to the NCAA for a sixth year of eligibility due to injuries.
CB Gary Gray - Confirmed
SS Harrison Smith - Confirmed
OT Taylor Dever
OT/OG Andrew Nuss
OT Matt Romine
TE Mike Ragone
C Dan Wenger
DE Emeka Nwanko
LB Steve Paskorz
K Brandon Walker
Coach Kelly announced Harrison Smith will be a captain next year and some decisions that have filtered out through the Internet. Gary Gray tweeted he is returning. Emeka Nwanko tweeted he is moving on to the next phase of his career. ND Nation expects starting right offensive tackle, Taylor Dever, to return, anchoring an offensive line that will lose only one starter. With those three scholarships, only two remain to be given out between Andrew Nuss, Matt Romine, Mike Ragone, Dan Wenger and the three actionable scholarships for the 2011 class - Troy Niklas, Savon Huggins, and Bryce Haynes.
At this point, we have to resort to reading the tea leaves in Brian Kelly's statements: "I have formulated in my mind some real clear guidelines as to how we’re going to move forward there."
"We can’t work with six quarterbacks," Kelly said. "There will be some paring down. There will be some guys that understand if they’re not in that top four, they’re not going to be able to get reps at the position." Getting Tommy Rees to enter last January proved to be one of the keys to success this year after Dayne Crist went down with his season-ending injury. Kelly's Irish went hard after Everitt Golson, who is now enrolled in classes. Andrew Hendrix and Luke Massa have had a redshirt year of learning Kelly's offense. Of the six, I have to figure that Crist, Rees, Hendrix and Golson will get the work. Kelly has said Montana will keep his scholarship, but will he want to be a fifth string quarterback. Will Massa leave or move to another position?
Kelly: "What our identity became, compared to what it was at the start of the season, you could make the case now that Theo Riddick should be a running back," Kelly said. With three running backs returning in Cierre Wood, Jonas Gray and Cameron Roberson, Riddick provides depth at RB and opens up space in the slot position for incoming Cam McDaniel. Does it indicate Savon Huggins will choose Rutgers or North Carolina and Kelly will concentrate on running back in 2012?
Kelly: "Or an offensive lineman that played tackle should play guard." Could Andrew Nuss, who backed up Taylor Dever, swing to guard and get a fifth year?
"Or you’ve got three or four tight ends, how are you going to use them all?", Kelly said. Tyler Eifert, Jake Golic, Alex Welch and Ben Koyack comprise four tight ends. Mike Ragone has been rumored to have received a fifth year scholarship. How could Kelly use five?
Wide receiver, even without Riddick, is now as well-stocked as quarterback and tight end. Eight (Floyd, Goodman, TJ Jones, Toma, Jackson, Collinsworth, Daniel Smith, and Deon Walker) scholarship players return with George Atkinson and DaVaris Daniels set to join them in the fall. Does Kelly know that one of them may transfer?
Defensive end was a position of need when Kelly took over and for the class of 2011, which has suddenly become a position of strength with Lynch, Tuitt, Carrico and Springmann committed to the Irish. At this point, we will have four nose tackles and nine defensive ends for 2011. Will a defensive line player like Brandon Newman or Bruce Heggie decide to transfer?
Troy Niklas, whose official visit to Notre Dame is this weekend, is very much a part of Kelly's recruiting push for the final 2011 class. Niklas has the skills to impact either the offensive or defensive side of the ball - a flexibility that is important in Kelly's recruiting plans. Niklas's choice will most affect the decisions on the other fifth years, especially Romine, Ragone and Wenger. While Niklas may well end up on the defensive side, Carrico or Springmann could flip to the offensive side.
"Year 2 for us is less about laying down a system of offense or defense or special teams and more about utilizing the players we have that can help us win football games." Many - including me - were surprised when Bryce Haynes offer became public given the scholarship crunch in reaching the eighty-five total. But, after some thought, a scholarship to the best long snapper in the nation makes some sense. If Cowart is injured, who will snap for the Irish if they need a game-winning field goal? Kelly likes competition and likes to minimize chances for error. Haynes has deferred his decision date. Is he waiting on the Irish to finalize their numbers? If Haynes chooses another school, Wenger's return, if granted, makes sense.
Kelly knows his players and his recruiting priorities. We can only speculate. For the true recrutnik, it's time to think about the needs for the class of 2012. With thirty-seven offers out to the 2012 class already - seven to running backs, Kelly is intent on filling those needs, but will be working with less scholarships and fifteen seniors with fifth year eligibility.
What do you think?
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I agree with your take on the QB situation. I’ve read Massa isn’t interested in transferring, and that he might switch Safety; he apparently played basketball in high school as well and is pretty athletic. Montana’s pretty mobile; perhaps he’ll find a role on special teams.
Unless there’s an injury crisis at RB, I doubt BK turns Riddick back into a traditional RB. I’m sure we’ll see lots of Riddick being motioned out of the backfield, but he really hit his stride midseason. Ultimately, it probably just comes down to getting our best playmakers on the field together.
I could see Nuss coming back as a G if we get snubbed by all three recruits still on the board, but I doubt that happens. Where did you read that Ragone got offered a 5th year? That wouldn’t make much sense with the depth we have currently. This is Jake Golic’s window; Welch and Koyack will be pressing him hard, and if he can’t break the 2-deep, he probably won’t ever see significant minutes.
I expect we’ll see some transfers before the summer program starts. Deion Walker and the two DEs you mentioned are prime candidates.
If we get Niklas, he probably gets his pick of DE or OT, and Carrico and/or Springman switches accordingly.
by Whiskeyjack on Jan 26, 2011 11:24 PM EST reply actions
We’ve had plenty of QBs play Safety, some pretty well – like Tommy Z and Kyle McCarthy.
Leaving RB open (vs Huggins, Cam McDaniel or Theo) would be attractive to a talented 2012 RB prospect who wants early playing time on a big stage. Johnathan Gray, Keith Marshall or Barry Sanders, Jr. would be ideal.
Should we get two of the three recruits left, that fills our numbers except for transfers. Then Nuss, Romine, Ragone and Wenger give us depth with experience. Ragone’s fifth year offer hit the message boards after the awards show. I think it is a rumor.
We have been averaging an attrition rate of two or three players a class. Weis liked to leave room, while Brian Kelly fills out each class. Our low point was 75 players after Weis’s first spring with only a handful of offensive linemen.
Thanks for the comment, jack.
by Michael Collins on Jan 27, 2011 1:22 AM EST reply actions
Nice summary. Sure, there will be transfers. A lot of guys have real talent and see a line of others in front of them. Parents who want their boy to get a chance to play can be contacting coaches that were recruiting their son can be doing the spadework. If you came to ND because you expected to go pro, you will probably want to move. If you came because of the education and the lifestyle, you don’t want to go. You will sit on the bench for the scholarship. In my experience there are a lot of guys willing to do this.
by Joe Schulz on Jan 27, 2011 5:28 AM EST reply actions
Nice job Michael.
I’m kind of shocked that Wenger applied for a sixth year to begin with and I don’t see him contributing even if he does come back, which it doesn’t seem likely.
What really needs to happen is someone needs to have an exclusive 1 on 1 interview with Luke Massa and see what’s going through his head. It would clear up some issues for us hardcore bloggers.
Guessing the transfers is always fun. I bet Brian Kelly makes it really hard for them to do so, just because of his intensity and positive vibes he gives off that this program is headed for good things.
Kind of a catch-22 there.
by Eric Murtaugh on Jan 27, 2011 8:32 AM EST reply actions
It would be awesome, and they would be even bigger Irish heroes, if Joe Montana and Mike Golic Sr. stepped up and offered to pay the boys way at ND. That could free up a little room for good of the team. GO IRISH!!
by Johnnypf34 on Jan 27, 2011 8:54 AM EST reply actions
Based on the attrition rate over the past year, I really don’t see many transfers. Bullard left to be closer to his family, EJ Banks because he needs to figure out his priorities. Only Shaq Evans left due to depth chart issues. I personally don’t see Walker leaving (he will be a senior in 2011 and seems to enjoy being part of the program—look at the picture at the end of the Sun Bowl, he is right next to Floyd) or Newman, who will be done after 2011 as well.
Massa said ND was his dream school, so look for him to switch to another position. At 6’4" he could grow into a LB or play S. Don’t forget that Matt James was one of his closest friends, so I think he wants to be at ND because of that as well. Montana is athletic enough to play another position, I will just have to wonder where he would be if he played more football growing up. That has really hampered his development.
Dever has to be a shoe-in for a 5th year. Why wouldn’t you bring back your starting LT? The announcement was delayed on all the 5th years, probably because BK wants to be sure about everyone signing the dotted line first next Wednesday.
That leaves two scholarships for Niklas and Huggins. With no Huggins (which we are all prepared for, I would think), perhaps Haynes gets a closer look, but I think you are right saying he is waiting to see how the numbers look first.
In addition to RB for 2012, OC has to be a HUGE priority. Behind Cave you have Golic Jr and that is it. Watt practiced there a bit in the fall, but you only have the one true C (Cave) on the team. Also S would be high on my list and NG. But that is just me.
As far as Riddick moving back to the backfield, I think Kelly realizes that he is a special player and will commit to getting the ball in his hands any way possible in 2011. I would move him back to RB because then you can move him all over the field trying to get mismatches. Riddick on a safety or LB? You have to like that option, especially with Floyd drawing extra attention most of the time. Then if you can have Bennett Jackson and TJ Jones stretch the field, it will be fun to watch….
by Jim Miesle on Jan 27, 2011 9:08 AM EST reply actions
Thanks, Eric.
As far as Golic and Montana paying their sons way, I see transfers as more likely.
Good summary, Jim. Good point about why Massa would stay, so I see him switching positions, probably Safety. If you have finished Junior year, you would rarely leave ND, especially if you felt we verged on something special. I’d bet on Newman and D. Walker staying to finish their degree, as Joe said.
I also agree with Jim on the advantages of moving Riddick to RB. Huggins would supply a running style we do not yet have. TR, SH and Bennett J would give us a definite New Jersey flavor to our attack.
We’re running out of transfer possibilities, though. Spring practice may make up some minds.
by Michael Collins on Jan 27, 2011 12:49 PM EST reply actions
What, no signing day switches to ND, no surprise transfers?
by Michael Collins on Jan 27, 2011 1:01 PM EST reply actions
Hmmm, signing day switches. I believe the last one was Kapron Lewis-Moore a few years back, and that worked out well for the Irish. Ja’Juan Story (current Florida commit) was one name that was thrown around a few weeks ago, but seeing as how he never visited, I doubt that would happen. USC seems to keep on losing people, so it is possible that Carlisle would switch, but not likely.
Surprise transfers? By definition, that would be difficult to predict. I could see one or two after the spring two-deep has been announced. Looking through the sophomores and juniors, most have seen significant playing time in one form or another, and as you said it is doubtful that a 2011 senior would transfer.
There have been a few rumors floating around that Jordan Prestwood wants to leave FSU after only a few weeks of classes. Don’t know if that is true, so it will be interesting to see if anything further develops there.
by Jim Miesle on Jan 27, 2011 1:40 PM EST reply actions
Prestwood is just another rumor. He’d have to sit out a year as a transfer first, since he is already enrolled. Drew and Story are other rumors without substance, since they have not visited. Carlisle seems strong with USC.
If you looks for positions of need, include only those recruits who visited and had some strong interest in Notre Dame and have not enrolled, how about Jordan Walsh or Brendon Austin?
by Michael Collins on Jan 27, 2011 2:03 PM EST reply actions
Haynes is reportedly down to two – Notre Dame and Ohio State are presumed to be his final two, though no confirmation.
by Michael Collins on Jan 27, 2011 3:31 PM EST reply actions
Can’t another lineman learn how to long snap? I’ve always found those LS scholarships pretty dumb. Especially when we already have one on campus.
by Eric Murtaugh on Jan 27, 2011 3:33 PM EST reply actions
Did Walsh ever get an offer? He was a former HS team mate of Chris Watt, correct? Jay Whitmire is another name you could throw in that hat, but I don’t see any of them switching.
I will maintain that C is a huge need now and next year. I am not sure about Kelly’s perspective on that, but in the spread running shotgun/pistol, you need a pretty good guy in the middle.
I assumed that the Prestwood thing was just a rumor as well, but you never know. The only thing that fueled the Ray Drew rumors was his friendship with Tuitt. Once he decided he wouldn’t visit ND, they were out of the mix. The Story rumors only surface after Urban decided to leave and before they hired Muschamp. You have to think he has seen what Weis did with Stovall, Samardzija, McKnight, Tate, and Floyd and figured it was best for him to stay at Florida.
If Niklas commits, I would expect him to get a first shot at DE (like Hounshell) and then you probably see Carrico/Springmann move over to OT. Regardless, BK has 3 true OL in this class (Hegarty, Hanratty, Martin) with the possibility of moving 3 more over if needs be (Carrico, Sprinmann, Hounshell). You have to love that kind of flexibility.
by Jim Miesle on Jan 27, 2011 3:35 PM EST reply actions
I agree on LS, Eric, to a point. You need a good one. Tenths of a second can be the difference between a FG and a blocked one. However, do you use your last scholarship on the best one with another LS on the roster? If Cowart is transferring, that’s another story.
Golic, Cave and Wenger were all centers in h.s. Why can’t you move a OG to Center, though? Walsh is about Golic’s size, comparing h.s. hts and weights. Walsh never got an offer, Jim. Speculation was that he would accept right away. He was a teammate of Chris Watt and attended a Junior Day, a Summer Camp, the Blue and Gold Game and a visit for the BC game in ’09. He committed to the Hawkeyes in August, ’10.
I love the flexibility Kelly recruits in big men. All three of his top teams are recruiting him at different positions – Stanford (TE), USC (OT), ND (DE). He needs to add weight and more muscle, but he is the kind of athletic, versatile big man Kelly loves. He could easily switch to the offensive side.
by Michael Collins on Jan 27, 2011 4:08 PM EST reply actions
Crabtree at Rivals says Huggins has dropped ND and will choose between Rutgers and UNC. His announcement has long been planned for tomorrow.
Niklas won’t announce until NSD.
Haynes does not have an actionable scholarship offer for 2011 anymore from UNC. Kelly is talking with him today, possibly about whether ND has room. He may be in the same situation with Ohio State – a numbers crunch. Harvard always has been a possibility for Haynes, though they do not offer athletic scholarships. Haynes could announce tomorrow, too.
by Michael Collins on Jan 27, 2011 8:56 PM EST reply actions
Interesting review of the past 25 #1 overall recruits from ESPN (soon to appear in the magazine):
http://insider.espn.go.com/ncaa/recruiting/insider/news/story?id=6062100
The best one has to be Ricky Watters. Once he started getting all the attention, his mom told him he was either going to South Bend or West Point. End of discussion.
by Jim Miesle on Jan 28, 2011 8:17 AM EST reply actions
I had a large number of expert comments to make regarding the situation but you guys all beat me to it.
Imagine that.
by terry on Jan 28, 2011 10:44 AM EST reply actions
terry,
You’ve got to be fast on this board. Huggins chooses Rutgers. Drew to Georgia, as we expected. Only Haynes and Niklas, who is visiting ND now, are left. The Orange County Register reports Niklas was not accepted at Stanford and is now down to ND and USC.
As far as fifth years, Mike Frank reports that both Mike Ragone and Andrew Nuss have been approved in addition to Dever, Hayseed and Gray. That’s 85, gents.
Two transfers? Some parent picking up the tab? Stay tuned.
Courtesy of whiskey (& ISD): http://www.irishsportsdaily.com/football/football-articles/4056-fifth-year-applicants-announced
by Michael Collins on Jan 28, 2011 10:45 PM EST reply actions
Haynes to Ohio State.
http://twitter.com/RubioSnapping
And then there was one….
Or, Tressel forced the commitment or he would withdraw the scholarship. Waiting for ND to NSD did not seem like a good idea, since if ND was full, he would miss out on both. Reportedly, ND was his first choice. So, if Kelly finds room, will Haynes switch on NSD?
by Michael Collins on Jan 28, 2011 10:54 PM EST reply actions
Michael Collins;
Interesting handle – historical reference? Niklas is on campus this weekend – any news?
There was some question about whether or not Kelly could recruit with the big boys. That question has been answered. He’s the right man for the job. Even if we stop at 23 this is an outstanding class.
by terry on Jan 29, 2011 8:39 AM EST reply actions
Mr. Collins —
I haven’t seen that announcement of the approval of Ragone and Nuss. I thought they were just the other two of the six applicants for a 5th year. With Haynes headed to Columbus, Niklas is the only one left on the board. There have been wispers that his #1 is USC, but I don’t know if I believe that. I guess we find out on Wednesday. Also, some rumblings indicate that Nuss would be taken before Ragone. It makes sense with the depth at TE (and Ragone’s injury history), but is complicated by Rudolph leaving early. Do you want a known commodity as a blocking TE? We shall see…
by Jim Miesle on Jan 29, 2011 9:10 AM EST reply actions
terry,
This coaching staff has done a terrific job recruiting for the Irish. Chuck Martin has been a great recruiting coordinator. For every offer that dropped the Irish from their list, the staff quickly moved to their next man. They were able to close out on some of the top players, get decommitments from schools players originally committed to, and securing players who switched their commitments to ND or seemed to be wavering.
Kelly’s staff has filled all our top immediate needs and has positioned us for success in the immediate future. With our depth and returning starters, these prospects are placing themselves in an ideal situation with time to work on technique, bulk up and get some playing time behind seniors.
by Michael Collins on Jan 29, 2011 11:48 AM EST reply actions
Jim,
You are, of course, right about the fifth years. Ragone and Nuss have not been announced as being granted a fifth year yet. I would take Nuss before Ragone if Niklas were to commit, because of Nuss can play OG or OT and because we would be set at TE even without Ragone.
Servite historically has sent players to USC. Chris Gallipo and Matt Kahil are a couple of recent ones. But I expect Niklas to make his own decision. It may come down to which side of the ball he wants to play on.
by Michael Collins on Jan 29, 2011 11:56 AM EST reply actions
Anyone have anything solid about an offer to Remound Wright (RB)? He has been tweeting about it and canceled his trip to Iowa this weekend. Possibly just a rumor.
Wright had multiple visits to ND, is from Bishop Dwenger in Ft Wayne, which has sent Goodman, Eifert and Springmann to the Irish, but has been just outside of the offer limelight and professed he is solid to Stanford, though he scheduled the trip to Iowa.
by Michael Collins on Jan 30, 2011 12:11 PM EST reply actions
I heard over the summer that if ND offered Wright, he would commit on the spot. As far as if he got an offer or not after missing out on Huggins, I don’t know. It doesn’t look like it, but who knows.
Oklahoma seems to be making a late push for Bennett Okotcha. It has been reported that he visited there over the weekend. Not sure how much truth there is to that rumor. Depth-wise, he will probably see some action in the fall at ND, while the Sooners have a lot more at the DB position.
Now that the dead period has started, I think it is wait and see until Wednesday.
by Jim Miesle on Jan 30, 2011 8:45 PM EST reply actions
Okotcha needs to stay. I don’t want to see any DB recruits jump on NSD. We desperately need bodies there like it’s nobody’s business.
by Eric Murtaugh on Jan 31, 2011 7:50 AM EST reply actions
Okotcha is gone to OU it appears. But Bennett Jackson makes a switch to corner…good move by the coaching staff.
by Eric Murtaugh on Feb 1, 2011 3:11 PM EST reply actions
When has a Texas player not listened to the enchantment from the Sooners? Guess we trade one Bennett for another, and move it up a priority notch in recruiting for 2012. Another scholarship saved – for a walkon like Schmidt or for 2012.
by Michael Collins on Feb 2, 2011 2:07 AM EST reply actions
Yes!! Troy Niklas signs his LOI with ND. All LOIs are in except Jalen Brown. Haynes signed with Ohio State.
Next, announcement on 5th years.
Room for two 5th years? Nuss and Romine?
by Michael Collins on Feb 2, 2011 10:28 AM EST reply actions
Niklas is a great add. Weather has been dicey in Texas with rolling blackouts. Perhaps that is why Brown’s isn’t in just yet.
Maybe its a coin flip between Romine and Ragone. Who knows…
by Jim Miesle on Feb 2, 2011 10:36 AM EST reply actions

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