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So Long No. 9: Tight End Kyle Rudolph Heading to the NFL

Well it looks like the Cincinnati Beast is gone.

According to ESPN via a report from IrishIllustrated.com, Notre Dame Tight End and current junior Kyle Rudolph has signed with an agent and will declare for the NFL draft.

Star-divide

The report is not completely shocking, although it is somewhat surprising given that Rudolph is still rehabbing from a season-ending injury for the second straight season.

What does this mean for all of the concerned parties?

Why’d You Do It Rudy?

I am sure the biggest reasons that Rudolph has apparently decided to bolt a year early for the NFL are because he is still tabbed as the No. 1 tight end in the draft and he probably does not want to risk yet another injury in college before turning pro.

From that perspective it makes plenty of sense.

For my money, I’d say he’s a 2nd round pick, although his potential and skill-set can move him into the 1st round if there is a team with a pressing need at tight end.

When he is healthy, Rudolph is a great pass catching tight end, but he will also have to improve upon his blocking and speed at the next level. But even with those flaws he is built perfectly for the tight end position and should have a long NFL career.

Rudolph was a wonderful player at Notre Dame and a strong leader, and while I don’t want to call his career a disappointment because it doesn’t feel that way, he does exit South Bend leaving fans with a sense of frustration and regret.

His career could have been so much better if the team was winning more games, if he could have stayed healthy, and if he didn’t both suffer an injury and deal with a new quarterback just as he was coming into his prime at Notre Dame.

Going into the 2010 season there were many who believed that Rudolph could potentially put up Jermaine Gresham-like numbers circa 2008 (66 receptions, 950 yards, 14 touchdowns), but due to injuries his statistical career is the same as former Irish tight end Anthony Fasano.

For his career, Rudolph finishes with 90 receptions, 1,032 yards and eight touchdowns. That’s still a nice career for most tight ends, but Rudolph was looked at as perhaps the best Irish tight end since Dave Casper or Ken MacAfee.

For the record, Fasano finished his career with eerily similar numbers: 90 receptions, 1,100 yards and eight touchdowns. Rudolph started in five more games during his career, but Fasano played in five more games total in his career.

Where Does This Leave the Irish on the Depth Chart?

If you had to pick between Rudolph or wide receiver Michael Floyd to leave early, you would have to pick Rudolph because there is excellent depth at tight end right now.

First, redshirt freshman Tyler Eifert (yet another crazy athletic 6’6" tight end) stepped in after Rudolph’s injury and played surprisingly well ending 2010 with 27 receptions to go along with 352 yards and two touchdowns in about seven games of work.

Eifert is pretty good too.

To put it into perspective, that is essentially the same pace set by Rudolph as a sophomore (364 yards in about eight games), so it looks like Eifert could be something special in his own right.

Also, with Rudolph leaving it becomes more likely that senior Mike Ragone will be granted a fifth year of eligibility to provide quality depth on the roster.

Ragone has had a tumultuous career in South Bend and has been a disappointment so far (only 10 receptions for the No. 3 tight end nationally), and there may be the chance that Kelly simply moves on, but I would think the team could use his experience in 2011.

Likely to move up the depth chart next season and see significant playing time is current freshman Alex Welch (No. 12 tight end nationally), who has drawn some praise from Brian Kelly this season although he was redshirted.

Welch comes from the same high school as Kyle Rudolph and was his backup as an underclassmen, and probably for that reason is drawing many comparisons to the current Irish junior.

Welch is a little smaller at 6’4" and probably lacks the level of athleticism of Rudolph or Eifert, but all indications are that he will be a solid starting tight end in the future.

To add to the depth at this position is current verbal commitment Ben Koyack (6’5" 230 pounds).

Koyack, the top rated player in Pennsylvania and the No. 4 overall tight end in the country, is currently wowing scouts and fans at the Under Armor All-American practices down in Florida and is being talked about as the best tight end in the nation.

Assuming that Ragone is asked back, Koyack will likely be sitting behind three older players on the roster so there is a good chance that he sits out 2011, add a little weight and becomes more acclimated with the college speed and Kelly’s offense.

So even with Rudolph leaving for the NFL, the depth and talent at tight end for Notre Dame is still looking very positive.

So Long No. 9!

So how does this announcement make you feel Irish fans?

Did you expect this and prepare for it?

Are you sad, mad, or happy for Rudolph?

Will Eifert, Welch or Koyack surpass the level of play that Rudolph brought to Notre Dame?

Which NFL team is going to pick him up?

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Good luck at the next level Rudy!

I think I feel like most Irish fans and am sorry to see him go. You have to think about what might have been if he stayed healthy this year. Remember that this guy gave up a lot (his senior year of basketball in HS, if I recall) to hit the weights hard and be able to crack the lineup at ND his freshman year.

ND will be okay without him, especially with the emergence of Eifert. Not sure how Welch will translate to college, but he will definitely get a chance to play in 2011. Don’t forget to throw Jake Golic in the mix, so I still don’t think Ragone gets invited back given the other scholarships at the position.

by Jim Miesle on Jan 5, 2011 10:26 AM EST reply actions  

Over the course of the last few weeks I started to think this was likely but I actually feel a lot better about it than I thought I would back in September. Eifert is a player in his own right and Ragone can get the job done in the two TE sets. With Welch and Koyak coming up behind them I think the Irish will be just fine at TE.

At this point I expect Floyd to follow suit in the next few days and that one will hurt a little bit more. There are a lot of talented WR’s on the roster with a lot of potential but Floyd is truly on a different level. Watching him in the Sun Bowl last Friday was a huge reminder of the degree to which he is a freak of nature. He’s just on a different level than the other guys.

That said it was great having Rudy in South Bend while it lasted. He was a great player, and a great representative of Notre Dame. I hope he has a nice long career in the league. I will also be looking to snatch him up in my fantasy draft next fall!

by whiskey on Jan 5, 2011 10:28 AM EST reply actions  

I can’t imagine any Irish fan is glad to see him go, but you can hardly blame Rudy. He projects to be the top TE in the draft, and will likely get 1st round money. Good for him; I look forward to watching him on Sunday.

At the beginning of the season, it was basically a foregone conclusion that we’d be losing both Rudy and Floyd to the draft. Diminished statistical production due to injuries and offensive growing pains made it possible that we’d hang on to one of them for another year. As others have mentioned, losing Floyd would hurt more than Rudy— given our depth at TE— so I’m still holding out hope there.

I also don’t think Kelly will offer Ragone a 5th year. Ragone is a perennially under-achieving Weis recruit, and we have quality depth at TE without him; especially since Jake Golic can fill in on 2 TE sets when needed. If we get a couple more quality recruits in this class (Ishaq Williams, please!) then Ragone’s scholarship is as good as gone.

by Ryan on Jan 5, 2011 11:28 AM EST reply actions  

I was relishing the thoughts of a three set tight end formation, but my best wishes go with Kyle. He is an outstanding player and a quality person. Best of luck to Kyle in the NFL.

by Steve on Jan 5, 2011 1:21 PM EST reply actions  

good riddance…..I think he was soft and injury prone to begin with. He never finished a season and will be lucky to last one in the NFL. Bad decision by him. He should have come back and lived up to expectations.

by scott on Jan 5, 2011 5:32 PM EST reply actions  

Coming back would have been stupidly risky for Rudy. He’ll be the top TE in this draft, will go in the 1st round, and get (current) 1st round $— which is likely $10 million +. Part of the reason he’s the top TE right now is because there aren’t many quality TEs in this class.

If he comes back, he risks having another injury-hobbled season, which would devalue his stock significantly. He would also be competing against a more robust class of TEs, meaning he’d be less likely to go in the first round, thereby losing out on millions of $. Most importantly, by next year, a new rookie salary cap will probably be in place, also costing Rudy millions in dollars compared to a 1st round pick this year.

If you’d leave $10 million + on the table for one last season at Notre Dame, you’re an idiot.

by Ryan on Jan 5, 2011 7:12 PM EST reply actions  

Top tight end in the draft, can’t improve his stock much, and too much to lose. This was expected and I wish Kyle and his family the best. This Cincy-ND connections are proving productive for those who aspire to the NFL.

Floyd would be best served by waiting a year so he can move into a high draft position.

Rudy could go to Atlanta in the first round (#31). Tony Gonzales is considering retirement.

by Michael Collins on Jan 6, 2011 7:45 AM EST reply actions  

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