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Around SBN: This Should Encourage Juan Mata

Death to the BCS: A Book Review (Part 2)

If you missed part one, click here.

Here is the review of the second part of Death to the BCS.

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Chapter Seven: Myth of the Dead Bowls

The authors state their case rather simply, "If the question is playoff or bowls, the answer is both."

With their playoff system, the current bowls would still survive as they are today (without the 16 playoff teams participating of course) and experts think that although they would take a hit financially, they would still be more than viable.

They state, "If the Cartel doesn’t mind spending $80 million to subsidize bowl games when the gross revenue is $220 million, it isn’t going to suddenly pull the plug when a playoff generates $750 million…college football would be replacing a poor earner with a good one."

Moreover, the larger and more prestigious bowl games would be able to remain viable with a playoff, especially the Rose Bowl which now generates a $30 million a year TV contract that would shrink to $15 to $20 million with a playoff. Mitch Dorger, the bowl’s CEO said, "The Rose bowl would survive."

The point here is that many of the lower-tier bowls would collapse financially if left to their own devices, a playoff would give teams more money, but would letting go of some of the lower-tier bowl games be such a bad idea anyway?

Especially considering that Division-I athletic departments needed $826 million in subsidies from taxpayers and student fees to balance their books, or that colleges dropped 227 teams from 2007-09 due to budget shortfalls?

Chapter Eight: It’s Always Some Team Getting Screwed

The next chapter takes a look at all the teams that have been screwed by the BCS over the years. You don’t really need to be much of a fan of the sport to remember a lot of these occurrences.

*LSU and USC "sharing" the 2003 title.

*Undefeated Auburn didn’t play in the BCS title game in 2005.

*Miami being left out of the BCS title game in 2000.

*Nebraska entering title game after losing the Big 12 championship 62-36.

*Oklahoma losing 35-7 in Big 12 championship game, but still entering BCS title game in 2003.

*Plus Utah going undefeated in 2008 without a title, and the same with Boise State in 2009.

There are many more examples and arguments, all of which a playoff would resolve.

Chapter Nine: Cowardice and Cupcakes

Chapter nine takes a look at how the BCS has affected scheduling and tells a story about how difficult it was for Michigan to find a big time opponent to play their home and season opener in 2010 after they rebuilt the Big House.

The Wolverines wanted a traditional powerhouse but were denied any requests to play a home and home and finally brokered a deal with Connecticut at the last minute.

A big selling point with the current system is that it allows the regular season to mean so much more than in another sport like the NFL.

The authors disagree, and point to the ever-growing number of cupcake games and programs' apprehension to lose one game for fear of playing themselves out of a title shot, as evidence that the BCS is slowly ruining the college regular season.

The system is set up right now to allow these teams the easy way out by scheduling I-AA teams and bottom feeders, causing the regular season not to be as big and exciting as it was 20 years ago.

With a playoff, teams would not be as afraid to lose one game and would be more likely to schedule tougher opponents in an attempt to build their resume to fight for a chance to be one of the lucky 5 at-large bids.

Chapter Ten: Diluting the Regular Season

Along the same lines as the last chapter, this one looks at how the BCS proponents say a playoff would turn the college games' regular season into the less meaningful examples we see with NCAA basketball and the NFL.

The authors think a playoff would actually increase the excitement of the regular season and that the comparisons to the NFL or college basketball are not convincing.

With a playoff, more people would tune in to see who wins the Sun Belt so that they would know who the No. 1 seed in the tournament would play. They also argue that so many more games would have bigger implications for the remaining at-large bids as teams with two losses (now resigned to non-title fate, except 2007 LSU), would be battling it out to enter the playoff.

They assert that a playoff wouldn’t just bring more excitement to the postseason, but would reinvigorate the regular season. It will force fans to follow just more than a handful of teams as the season comes to a close and would give the smaller and less powerful teams a chance to be giant killers.

Chapter 11: Nonsense Math

This chapter takes a look at how the BCS started their polling, how they got rid of the margin of victory, who the players are behind the numbers and how they are controlled like puppets on a string by the Cartel.

It’s not essential reading or really that pertinent to the book’s thesis, but it is interesting nonetheless.

Chapter Twelve: Fooling the Voters (Who Are Often Fools)

Chapter twelve begins with showing how LSU effectively campaigned for the title game in 2007 after suffering two losses and goes on to show how the BCS has turned nearly every program into a sales team and how the system makes them all public relations talking heads.

It also shows how many of the voters in the Harris poll don’t really follow college football all that well. The authors state that the "Harris poll is bumbling, the coaches poll is bogus and the computer systems corrupt."

Chapter Thirteen: The Superfans

This chapter takes an interesting look at how the internet and social media have created a new kind of fan, the "superfan" and that all of these technological changes have brought college football to unprecedented popularity levels.

The problem as they see it is that the BCS is still stuck in the early 1990’s, unwilling to change.

The authors close out the chapter with a warning: "The Cartel will find itself confronted by a great lesson of the Internet age: The product always bows to the masses, not the other way around."

Chapter Fourteen: All in a Gameday’s Work

An extension of chapter thirteen, this chapter takes a look at how popular the game of college football has become, how national it has become, thanks in large part to the spread of games on television and shows like ESPN Gameday.

It reasserts the notion of just how insanely popular a playoff type of system could be once mid-December rolls around each season.

Chapter Fifteen: Blue Turf vs. Blue Blood

Chapter fifteen centers around the growth of the Boise State football program and how the smaller and less traditional teams are unfairly kept out of the championship games in the BCS.

At this point, the authors have turned their eye back to how unreasonable the BCS has become and how programs like Boise State and TCU are finally being realized as very good football teams and not something unworthy of a shot at a title.

Chapter Sixteen: The Civil War

A funny thing about the BCS is that it is being run and controlled mostly by the conference commissioners, yet those same commissioners are also in competition with each other for more money, power and championships.

This chapter takes a look at how not everyone agrees with each other and how certain fractures may open the door to the possibility of a true playoff system.

Chapter Seventeen: Implicit Trust, Explicit Motivation

This chapter is an extension of the previous one, taking a look at how the Big 12 was duped by the Big Ten in swiping Nebraska away and all of the disagreements between the conference commissioners that have led to this recent expansion.

It also goes into how Big Ten commissioner Jim Delany has been at the forefront of bringing his conference a lot of riches and how a playoff (and it’s millions more) would lessen the power and influence of the Big Ten. The authors imply that this is a big reason Mr. Delany does not want to see a playoff, because everyone getting rich is not as satisfying as the Big Ten holding power and keeping its current riches.

Chapter Eighteen: Death to the BCS

The final chapter is just a quick recap of everything that is wrong with the BCS and why a playoff would be so much better.

They call the BCS un-American.

A few powerful men control everything and it is bad for the sport and terrible for the fans.

They want to see the excitement of a 16-team playoff and an annual championship game at the Rose Bowl.

They want to see David vs. Goliath matchups in the first round. They want to see the smaller teams get a chance to fight or a No. 12 seed miraculously playing its way to the title game and capturing the attention and imagination of the whole nation.

They’re sick of the stale postseason, the pat on the backs for undefeated seasons and all of the corruption involved with the current system.

It’s time for a playoff.

It will bring back excitement to the regular season, blow desperately needed fresh air and hype into the postseason, while creating a fairer system and untold riches for cash-hungry universities and not for bowl executives in sport coats.

If you’re a fan of college football, I highly recommend you read this book.

The authors could have gone into better detail about their plan for a playoff (critics are already harping on that point) but they rightly target the BCS because of how inept the current system is.

I don't agree with everything in the book, but a lot of it makes a ton of sense.

The biggest problem in my eyes is how fans will react to watching a Rose, Sugar, Fiesta and Orange bowls that would be clearly a step down from their current matchups. Then again, half of the BCS games each year aren't mind-blowing games and don't bring in huge ratings.

I'd concede that a playoff might affect the regular season negatively in some ways, but I truly think it would also be off-set and increased to a greater extent with teams fighting to get into the postseason. For example, Auburn would be fighting for a No. 1 seed this weekend, while South Carolina (only trying for a BCS bowl) could still be fighting for a national title.

What are your questions? Concerns? Comments?

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Nice review. Interesting book, from the sounds of it—I hope it sparks some change.

I should caveat my comments by saying that I am a proponent of the bowl system, mostly because the drama and arguments serve to make the season interesting (if less objective). Also, a playoff doesn’t necessarily put the two best teams on the field—I remember many Superbowls that were totally boring blowouts.

That out of the way, I agree with the idea of a 16 team playoff. The five weekends between the beginning of December and the first week in January are plenty for all the playoff rounds, and the 14 weekends between the last weekend in August and the end of November allow for 12 games, a bye week, and a conference championship. In other words, “extending the season” for the playoff is logistically sound.

I disagree that 11 conference champions take the 11 playoff spots. I’m sorry, but a Sun Belt or Mountain West team generally cannot compete with even a quarter of the teams of the SEC, Big 10, or Pac 10. I propose that the 6 major conference champions take spots, with 10 at-large bids forcing all other teams to compete for a high enough ranking. That makes things more favorable for my alma mater and team of choice, Notre Dame, but doesn’t exclude anybody…and offers an incentive against scheduling cupcakes.

I also disagree that playoff games should be separate from the existing bowls. Certainly the first round of a 16-team playoff could be played at the top-seed schools, but the quarterfinals (four games) and the semifinals (two games) could slide into existing bowl slots—the Sugar, Fiesta, Cotton, Orange, Rose, and Fiesta bowls would make excellent venues for these six games and the intractable Rose Bowl could easily preserve it’s New Years Day and parade tradition with the timing of the semifinals. I could give or take the rest of the bowls—I generally cannot get too excited about, say, the Holiday Bowl or the Motor City Bowl—but if they are moneymakers and a chance for exposure, they could certainly nab good teams that don’t make the playoffs.

In any case, my proposal would allow for precious few “Cinderella stories,” but at least all the playoff games would take place between proven and powerful football teams (which was the point of the bowl games to begin with, as I remember). And, more importantly, a good Boise State, TCU, or Utah team would have a chance to win the championship despite the decreased market value of their fan base or their conference.

As for the rankings themselves, well, they are subject to corruption and disagreement. A computerized ranking along an RPI scale as is used in College Basketball, or one that allows for strength of schedule should suffice. It wouldn’t necessarily eliminate controversy, but it would provide a further incentive against scheduling cupcakes. For teams whose conference is comprised of cupcakes (lookin’ at you, Boise State), it would require scheduling a powerful team or two as “statement games” during the regular season which would increase the value of regular season games and continue to allow early-season matchups that truly have “national championship implications.”

Despite the frustration and venom spewed all over sports shows, blogs, and newspapers, I don’t see the current system changing anytime soon. But it’s nice to dream. Perhaps with such a playoff system College Football could reclaim the national popularity it used to enjoy before the more equitable and glitzy NFL came along.

by Klobes on Dec 9, 2010 6:32 PM EST reply actions  

Klobes,

Thanks for sharing your thoughts.

I’ll just comment on a few things.

The topic of giving all 11 conferences auto-bids keeps coming up in almost every discussion. I really think it’s the biggest issue for a lot of people. I am for it, but a lot of people are not. My thoughts are that if we didn’t give every conference a bid and went with the more “acceptable” big 6 model, I’m fine with that if it gives us a playoff.

But, if the Sun Belt, WAC, MAC, C-USA teams don’t get automatic bids for winning their conference, they might as well not participate at all. A playoff is going to bring a boat load of money and if those conferences don’t get a slice of that pie they are going to become even weaker than they are today, and it will be pretty pointless for them to still be a part of D-1 football in name only.

I suspect after reading the Big 6 conference commissioners’ comments yesterday that they’d be more than happy to shut out the weaker conferences and not give them an auto-bid.

A long time ago I thought putting the playoffs with the existing bowls would work, but I don’t think it would now. First, it would just seem weird to have the big bowl games as a “quarter-final” or “semi-final” game. It would seem odd to me that you could “win” the Sugar Bowl, and then keep moving on in the playoff.

But the big reason for me is that the playoff games need to be on school’s campuses’. In this book they have every playoff game at the higher seeds campus, except the final playoff game that would be held annually at the Rose Bowl, but seperate from the actual Rose Bowl game.

Keeping the playoff games on campus is crucial as far as I’m concerned. Estimates are that each playoff team will get $25 million for participating in one game, but a home game could be worth millions more as well. I think this is a huge selling point for teams, in stark contrast to holding the game at the Super Dome and having revenue sucked away from the school’s like we have in today’s system.

I believe a Notre Dame home game is worth something like $6 to $10 million for the surrounding South Bend area, and the ticket sales from a playoff game at Notre Dame would bring in more money than any other game the Irish play. The money aspect is overwhelming, as is the flavor and passion of having these games on campus, where the true college spirit lives, instead of at these neutral bowl sites.

Having the playoffs on campus is a no brainer to me. But it does bring up another crucial point of argument that is going to arise. Basically, if the playoffs are held at teams’ stadiums, the bowl games as we know it will effectively become like the NIT of college football.

I can see this bothering a lot of people and a lot of fans, and I know the bowl executives will fight the playoffs specifically because of this.

My point of view is that this is a necessary sacrifice, and the big bowl games (Rose, Sugar, Fiesta etc.) would still remain profitable [keep in mind only about a third of the bowls games are currently profitable anyway], but they would take a hit in their importance.

This would diminish the tradition of the Rose Bowl, but I think it is something that needs to be done. The bowls were never created to determine a college champion, and they could still survive serving their purpose of giving non-playoff teams an exciting post-season game to play in. This year we’d probably be looking at an Alabama vs. Boise State or Missouri vs. Oklahoma State matchup in the Rose Bowl. Seeing as how this year’s Rose Bowl (TCU vs. Wisconsin) isn’t doing anything to determine a champion, I don’t think it’s that big of a deal to have the big bowls pit a couple of teams ranked in the teens together instead of top 10 teams.

I hope we see a playoff soon, or sometime down the road. I agree it would give college football a big boost and bring it very close to the NFL as the most popular sport in the country…which it basically is today.

I just don’t like how some people think the BCS is the reason why the game has become so popular, it’s backwards thinking. The game has become so popular because of the game itself (tradition, campus atmospheres, rivalries, etc.) and the fact that more and more games are on television. With or without the BCS the game would have grown to the point it is at right now and I think a playoff is the next step to bring college football enormous amounts of money for these schools who desperately need it and it would truly make college football a giant in sports.

by Eric Murtaugh on Dec 10, 2010 8:27 AM EST reply actions  

If you give all 11 conference auto-bids what about the number two team in the SEC, PAC-10, Big-10? You only have four openings as for them, are you saying that a MAC team is better then second place teams in the power conferences? Where will N/D fit in, they are not in a conference so they are going to have to get into the four open place’s? Do they get an auto-bid, if so why? I think if the BCS is forced to change thing will go back to how they were before the BCS began. Plus if a team does not win enough to get into the play-off then the TV rev. will stop becasue the networks will only want to show the only the top teams. Who would care if Rugters is playing UConn? Now at least they are on TV.

by Who knows on Dec 11, 2010 1:01 PM EST reply actions  

Correction:

Nebraska didn’t lose the 2001 Big XII CCG. It lost to Colorado in its last game of the year by that score, and CU went to the title game to play Texas. CU won that game, but Nebraska went to the Rose Bowl to play Miami anyway because the computers still had us something like .008 points ahead of CU.

by Mister Mike on Dec 21, 2010 4:38 PM EST reply actions  

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